Recent polling trends among Russia's systemic opposition parties have kept the contest for third place in the September 2026 State Duma election tightly contested, with New People, LDPR, and KPRF trading positions depending on survey methodology. VCIOM telephone polls have shown New People near or above 11-13 percent, ahead of or level with LDPR and KPRF, while FOM face-to-face surveys often place LDPR and KPRF slightly ahead at similar levels. Party preparations—including candidate list approvals, regional organization, and media positioning—reinforce this balance, as LDPR benefits from leadership continuity, KPRF draws on established voter bases, and New People leverages perceived growth momentum. Outcomes remain sensitive to final turnout patterns, single-mandate district results, and any late shifts in administrative resources or public sentiment before voting begins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNew People (NL) 43%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 15%
Yabloko 1.0%
$55,398 Vol.
$55,398 Vol.

United Russia (ER)
<1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
15%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
33%

New People (NL)
43%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Yabloko
1%
New People (NL) 43%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 15%
Yabloko 1.0%
$55,398 Vol.
$55,398 Vol.

United Russia (ER)
<1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
15%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
33%

New People (NL)
43%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Yabloko
1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends among Russia's systemic opposition parties have kept the contest for third place in the September 2026 State Duma election tightly contested, with New People, LDPR, and KPRF trading positions depending on survey methodology. VCIOM telephone polls have shown New People near or above 11-13 percent, ahead of or level with LDPR and KPRF, while FOM face-to-face surveys often place LDPR and KPRF slightly ahead at similar levels. Party preparations—including candidate list approvals, regional organization, and media positioning—reinforce this balance, as LDPR benefits from leadership continuity, KPRF draws on established voter bases, and New People leverages perceived growth momentum. Outcomes remain sensitive to final turnout patterns, single-mandate district results, and any late shifts in administrative resources or public sentiment before voting begins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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