Recent polling and the August 11 primary have driven trader consensus toward Democrat David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial race. Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in a narrow upset over progressive challenger Francesca Hong, aided by an endorsement from retiring Governor Tony Evers that consolidated establishment support. Marquette Law School and other surveys since the primary show Crowley leading Republican Tom Tiffany by 5 points among likely voters, though the contest remains tied among all registered voters. Tiffany, the Trump-backed nominee from the 7th Congressional District, has aired extensive ads, but Crowley holds advantages with independents and in turnout-focused areas like Milwaukee. The open-seat contest in the presidential swing state has shifted forecaster ratings toward a Democratic lean, reflecting these early general-election dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para governador de Wisconsin
Vencedor da eleição para governador de Wisconsin
$511,181 Vol.
$511,181 Vol.
2 nov 2026
David Crowley (D)
81%
Tom Tiffany (R)
20%
$511,181 Vol.
$511,181 Vol.
2 nov 2026
David Crowley (D)
$268,740 Vol.
81%
Tom Tiffany (R)
$242,441 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling and the August 11 primary have driven trader consensus toward Democrat David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial race. Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in a narrow upset over progressive challenger Francesca Hong, aided by an endorsement from retiring Governor Tony Evers that consolidated establishment support. Marquette Law School and other surveys since the primary show Crowley leading Republican Tom Tiffany by 5 points among likely voters, though the contest remains tied among all registered voters. Tiffany, the Trump-backed nominee from the 7th Congressional District, has aired extensive ads, but Crowley holds advantages with independents and in turnout-focused areas like Milwaukee. The open-seat contest in the presidential swing state has shifted forecaster ratings toward a Democratic lean, reflecting these early general-election dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$511,181Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling and the August 11 primary have driven trader consensus toward Democrat David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial race. Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in a narrow upset over progressive challenger Francesca Hong, aided by an endorsement from retiring Governor Tony Evers that consolidated establishment support. Marquette Law School and other surveys since the primary show Crowley leading Republican Tom Tiffany by 5 points among likely voters, though the contest remains tied among all registered voters. Tiffany, the Trump-backed nominee from the 7th Congressional District, has aired extensive ads, but Crowley holds advantages with independents and in turnout-focused areas like Milwaukee. The open-seat contest in the presidential swing state has shifted forecaster ratings toward a Democratic lean, reflecting these early general-election dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$511,181Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling and the August 11 primary have driven trader consensus toward Democrat David Crowley in the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial race. Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in a narrow upset over progressive challenger Francesca Hong, aided by an endorsement from retiring Governor Tony Evers that consolidated establishment support. Marquette Law School and other surveys since the primary show Crowley leading Republican Tom Tiffany by 5 points among likely voters, though the contest remains tied among all registered voters. Tiffany, the Trump-backed nominee from the 7th Congressional District, has aired extensive ads, but Crowley holds advantages with independents and in turnout-focused areas like Milwaukee. The open-seat contest in the presidential swing state has shifted forecaster ratings toward a Democratic lean, reflecting these early general-election dynamics.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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