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Politics·Primary Elections

WA-04 Primary Winners

icon for WA-04 Primary Winners
Politics·Primary Elections

WA-04 Primary Winners

NOVO
4 ago 2026
Polymarket

$237 Vol.

Polymarket

Matt Boehnke

$52 Vol.

69%

Amanda McKinney

$0 Vol.

57%

John Duresky

$0 Vol.

48%

Jerrod Sessler

$0 Vol.

47%

Favian Valencia

$50 Vol.

47%

Devin Pooré

$40 Vol.

45%

Zac Rossi

$55 Vol.

45%

Elpidia Saavedra

$18 Vol.

45%

John Hughs

$0 Vol.

45%

Carmen Black

$0 Vol.

45%

Ken Vaz

$0 Vol.

45%

Jack Kobiesa

$22 Vol.

44%

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-04 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington’s 4th Congressional District features an open-seat top-two primary on August 4, 2026, after incumbent Republican Dan Newhouse opted not to seek re-election. Eleven candidates have filed, dominated by Republicans including state Senator Matt Boehnke, Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney—who leads early fundraising—and others such as Jerrod Sessler. Democrat John Duresky is the main non-Republican contender in the solidly Republican district. Washington’s jungle primary advances the two highest vote-getters regardless of party, so Republican vote fragmentation and candidate positioning on endorsements and resources will determine which contenders advance to the November general election. No primary-specific polling has surfaced recently.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-04 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$237
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-04 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-04 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington’s 4th Congressional District features an open-seat top-two primary on August 4, 2026, after incumbent Republican Dan Newhouse opted not to seek re-election. Eleven candidates have filed, dominated by Republicans including state Senator Matt Boehnke, Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney—who leads early fundraising—and others such as Jerrod Sessler. Democrat John Duresky is the main non-Republican contender in the solidly Republican district. Washington’s jungle primary advances the two highest vote-getters regardless of party, so Republican vote fragmentation and candidate positioning on endorsements and resources will determine which contenders advance to the November general election. No primary-specific polling has surfaced recently.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-04 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$237
Data de Término
4 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 6, 2026, 6:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-04 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-04 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"WA-04 Primary Winners" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Matt Boehnke" at 69%, followed by "Amanda McKinney" at 57%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"WA-04 Primary Winners" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "WA-04 Primary Winners," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "WA-04 Primary Winners" is "Matt Boehnke" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Amanda McKinney" at 57%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "WA-04 Primary Winners" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.