Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell holds a commanding trader consensus at 66.5% to win Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, reflecting his incumbency advantage, dominant fundraising with 10 times more cash on hand than challenger Cori Bush as of late April reports, and prior 2024 primary victory over her by five points. Bush's odds at 33% have firmed slightly following her campaign's internal HIT Strategies poll released mid-April—conducted February among likely voters—showing a 44-40% Bell lead within the margin of error, alongside her higher favorability. A May 3 ward forum highlighted Bush's direct engagement while Bell sent a surrogate due to congressional duties, underscoring the competitive rematch dynamics ahead of the summer primary.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$10,436 Vol.
$10,436 Vol.
Wesley Bell
67%
Cori Bush
33%
$10,436 Vol.
$10,436 Vol.
Wesley Bell
67%
Cori Bush
33%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell holds a commanding trader consensus at 66.5% to win Missouri's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, reflecting his incumbency advantage, dominant fundraising with 10 times more cash on hand than challenger Cori Bush as of late April reports, and prior 2024 primary victory over her by five points. Bush's odds at 33% have firmed slightly following her campaign's internal HIT Strategies poll released mid-April—conducted February among likely voters—showing a 44-40% Bell lead within the margin of error, alongside her higher favorability. A May 3 ward forum highlighted Bush's direct engagement while Bell sent a surrogate due to congressional duties, underscoring the competitive rematch dynamics ahead of the summer primary.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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