Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads trader pricing at 78.5% for Spain’s next prime minister because the Partido Popular maintains a consistent polling edge over the PSOE heading into the general election due by August 2027. Most surveys place PP support near 32-34% and PSOE near 25-28%, positioning a PP-Vox alliance for a workable majority in the Congress of Deputies. Pedro Sánchez’s 14.8% reflects sustained pressure on his minority government from corruption investigations, the Koldo affair, the Ceuta migration crisis, and legislative dependence on regional parties. Isabel Díaz Ayuso and Santiago Abascal register lower odds amid limited independent paths to investiture. Resolution hinges on the outcome of that vote and subsequent coalition negotiations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAlberto Núñez Feijóo 79%
Pedro Sánchez 14.8%
Santiago Abascal 3.8%
Isabel Díaz Ayuso 2.7%
$131,189 Vol.
$131,189 Vol.
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
79%
Pedro Sánchez
15%
Santiago Abascal
4%
Isabel Díaz Ayuso
3%
Carlos Cuerpo
<1%
Óscar Puente
<1%
María Jesús Montero
<1%
Yolanda Díaz
<1%
Ernest Urtasun
<1%
Aitor Esteban
<1%
Miguel Tellado
<1%
Ester Muñoz
<1%
Pepa Millán
<1%
Cuca Gamarra
<1%
Borja Sémper
<1%
Carles Puigdemont
<1%
Alberto Núñez Feijóo 79%
Pedro Sánchez 14.8%
Santiago Abascal 3.8%
Isabel Díaz Ayuso 2.7%
$131,189 Vol.
$131,189 Vol.
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
79%
Pedro Sánchez
15%
Santiago Abascal
4%
Isabel Díaz Ayuso
3%
Carlos Cuerpo
<1%
Óscar Puente
<1%
María Jesús Montero
<1%
Yolanda Díaz
<1%
Ernest Urtasun
<1%
Aitor Esteban
<1%
Miguel Tellado
<1%
Ester Muñoz
<1%
Pepa Millán
<1%
Cuca Gamarra
<1%
Borja Sémper
<1%
Carles Puigdemont
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads trader pricing at 78.5% for Spain’s next prime minister because the Partido Popular maintains a consistent polling edge over the PSOE heading into the general election due by August 2027. Most surveys place PP support near 32-34% and PSOE near 25-28%, positioning a PP-Vox alliance for a workable majority in the Congress of Deputies. Pedro Sánchez’s 14.8% reflects sustained pressure on his minority government from corruption investigations, the Koldo affair, the Ceuta migration crisis, and legislative dependence on regional parties. Isabel Díaz Ayuso and Santiago Abascal register lower odds amid limited independent paths to investiture. Resolution hinges on the outcome of that vote and subsequent coalition negotiations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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