Flávio Bolsonaro maintains overwhelming trader consensus for first place in Rondônia’s October 4 first round due to the state’s entrenched conservative leanings and consistent polling leads exceeding 30 points. Recent Veritá surveys from mid-September showed him at 57.5% against Lula’s 25.3%, aligning with earlier Real Time Big Data and Quaest findings that placed the Liberal Party senator near 58% and 45% respectively. Rondônia delivered Jair Bolsonaro a 70.6%-29.3% victory in 2022, reflecting voter priorities on security, economic policy, and skepticism toward federal institutions. Lula’s national campaign has struggled to gain traction in this northern Amazon stronghold. While major late developments such as scandals or turnout shifts could theoretically narrow margins, current evidence points to structural barriers for challengers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoFlavio Bolsonaro 98.0%
Edmilson Costa <1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
$16,603 Vol.
$16,603 Vol.
4 out 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
98%
Edmilson Costa
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
1%
Samara
1%
Lula
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Zema
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 98.0%
Edmilson Costa <1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
$16,603 Vol.
$16,603 Vol.
4 out 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$9,974 Vol.
98%
Edmilson Costa
$490 Vol.
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$548 Vol.
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$570 Vol.
1%
Samara
$590 Vol.
1%
Lula
$669 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$480 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$530 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$641 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$499 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$550 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$535 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$525 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains overwhelming trader consensus for first place in Rondônia’s October 4 first round due to the state’s entrenched conservative leanings and consistent polling leads exceeding 30 points. Recent Veritá surveys from mid-September showed him at 57.5% against Lula’s 25.3%, aligning with earlier Real Time Big Data and Quaest findings that placed the Liberal Party senator near 58% and 45% respectively. Rondônia delivered Jair Bolsonaro a 70.6%-29.3% victory in 2022, reflecting voter priorities on security, economic policy, and skepticism toward federal institutions. Lula’s national campaign has struggled to gain traction in this northern Amazon stronghold. While major late developments such as scandals or turnout shifts could theoretically narrow margins, current evidence points to structural barriers for challengers.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Volume
$16,603Data de Término
1 jul 2027Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains overwhelming trader consensus for first place in Rondônia’s October 4 first round due to the state’s entrenched conservative leanings and consistent polling leads exceeding 30 points. Recent Veritá surveys from mid-September showed him at 57.5% against Lula’s 25.3%, aligning with earlier Real Time Big Data and Quaest findings that placed the Liberal Party senator near 58% and 45% respectively. Rondônia delivered Jair Bolsonaro a 70.6%-29.3% victory in 2022, reflecting voter priorities on security, economic policy, and skepticism toward federal institutions. Lula’s national campaign has struggled to gain traction in this northern Amazon stronghold. While major late developments such as scandals or turnout shifts could theoretically narrow margins, current evidence points to structural barriers for challengers.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rondônia, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rondônia.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rondônia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$16,603Data de Término
1 jul 2027Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro maintains overwhelming trader consensus for first place in Rondônia’s October 4 first round due to the state’s entrenched conservative leanings and consistent polling leads exceeding 30 points. Recent Veritá surveys from mid-September showed him at 57.5% against Lula’s 25.3%, aligning with earlier Real Time Big Data and Quaest findings that placed the Liberal Party senator near 58% and 45% respectively. Rondônia delivered Jair Bolsonaro a 70.6%-29.3% victory in 2022, reflecting voter priorities on security, economic policy, and skepticism toward federal institutions. Lula’s national campaign has struggled to gain traction in this northern Amazon stronghold. While major late developments such as scandals or turnout shifts could theoretically narrow margins, current evidence points to structural barriers for challengers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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