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icon for Eleição presidencial no Brasil em primeiro turno: 1º lugar em Sergipe
Política·Brasil

Eleição presidencial no Brasil em primeiro turno: 1º lugar em Sergipe

icon for Eleição presidencial no Brasil em primeiro turno: 1º lugar em Sergipe
Política·Brasil

Eleição presidencial no Brasil em primeiro turno: 1º lugar em Sergipe

Lula 91%

Edmilson Costa 26%

Escritor Augusto Cury 26%

Flavio Bolsonaro 26%

Polymarket
NOVO

Lula 91%

Edmilson Costa 26%

Escritor Augusto Cury 26%

Flavio Bolsonaro 26%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Lula

Lula

$185 Vol.

78%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$56 Vol.

26%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$56 Vol.

26%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$56 Vol.

26%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$56 Vol.

11%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$56 Vol.

26%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$56 Vol.

26%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$56 Vol.

26%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$56 Vol.

25%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$56 Vol.

26%

icon for Samara

Samara

$56 Vol.

26%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$56 Vol.

16%

icon for Zema

Zema

$56 Vol.

26%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The fragmented candidate field and regional voting patterns in Sergipe keep probabilities tightly clustered, with Lula at 40% and numerous others near 26% reflecting trader consensus on an open contest ahead of the October 4 first round. National polling shows Lula leading overall but facing pressure from right-leaning challengers such as Flávio Bolsonaro, while smaller parties and lesser-known figures including Wilson Grassi, Edmilson Costa, and Ronaldo Caiado draw localized support without consolidation. Northeast state dynamics, recent candidate declarations, and the absence of decisive Sergipe-specific surveys sustain the balance. Upcoming campaign events or shifts in turnout among key blocs could separate outcomes before election day.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$136
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The fragmented candidate field and regional voting patterns in Sergipe keep probabilities tightly clustered, with Lula at 40% and numerous others near 26% reflecting trader consensus on an open contest ahead of the October 4 first round. National polling shows Lula leading overall but facing pressure from right-leaning challengers such as Flávio Bolsonaro, while smaller parties and lesser-known figures including Wilson Grassi, Edmilson Costa, and Ronaldo Caiado draw localized support without consolidation. Northeast state dynamics, recent candidate declarations, and the absence of decisive Sergipe-specific surveys sustain the balance. Upcoming campaign events or shifts in turnout among key blocs could separate outcomes before election day.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$136
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição presidencial no Brasil em primeiro turno: 1º lugar em Sergipe" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lula" at 78%, followed by "Edmilson Costa" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eleição presidencial no Brasil em primeiro turno: 1º lugar em Sergipe" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eleição presidencial no Brasil em primeiro turno: 1º lugar em Sergipe," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição presidencial no Brasil em primeiro turno: 1º lugar em Sergipe" is "Lula" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Edmilson Costa" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição presidencial no Brasil em primeiro turno: 1º lugar em Sergipe" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.