Sergio Moro (PL) holds a commanding position in the 2026 Paraná gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 84% consensus for his victory. Multiple recent polls, including Paraná Pesquisas, Genial/Quaest, Neokemp, and Veritá surveys from June through early August 2026, show him leading first-round voting intentions at 39–47%, often 20+ points ahead of nearest challengers such as Requião Filho (PDT) and Rafael Greca (MDB). These results indicate potential first-round election under valid-vote thresholds. Alliances, including support from PL figures following the current governor’s split with Bolsonaro-aligned groups, have reinforced his frontrunner status ahead of the October vote. Lower probabilities for other declared candidates align with their consistent single-digit or low-teen polling shares and limited momentum in the current cycle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para governador do Paraná
Vencedor da eleição para governador do Paraná
Sergio Moro 84%
Alexandre Curi 3.6%
Enio Verri 2.8%
Rafael Greca 2.8%
$41,363 Vol.
$41,363 Vol.
5 out 2026
Sergio Moro
84%
Alexandre Curi
4%
Enio Verri
3%
Rafael Greca
3%
Luiz França
1%
Beto Richa
1%
Guto Silva
1%
Requião Filho
<1%
Sergio Moro 84%
Alexandre Curi 3.6%
Enio Verri 2.8%
Rafael Greca 2.8%
$41,363 Vol.
$41,363 Vol.
5 out 2026
Sergio Moro
$32,335 Vol.
84%
Alexandre Curi
$452 Vol.
4%
Enio Verri
$309 Vol.
3%
Rafael Greca
$352 Vol.
3%
Luiz França
$272 Vol.
1%
Beto Richa
$371 Vol.
1%
Guto Silva
$647 Vol.
1%
Requião Filho
$6,627 Vol.
<1%
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro (PL) holds a commanding position in the 2026 Paraná gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 84% consensus for his victory. Multiple recent polls, including Paraná Pesquisas, Genial/Quaest, Neokemp, and Veritá surveys from June through early August 2026, show him leading first-round voting intentions at 39–47%, often 20+ points ahead of nearest challengers such as Requião Filho (PDT) and Rafael Greca (MDB). These results indicate potential first-round election under valid-vote thresholds. Alliances, including support from PL figures following the current governor’s split with Bolsonaro-aligned groups, have reinforced his frontrunner status ahead of the October vote. Lower probabilities for other declared candidates align with their consistent single-digit or low-teen polling shares and limited momentum in the current cycle.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
Volume
$41,363Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro (PL) holds a commanding position in the 2026 Paraná gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 84% consensus for his victory. Multiple recent polls, including Paraná Pesquisas, Genial/Quaest, Neokemp, and Veritá surveys from June through early August 2026, show him leading first-round voting intentions at 39–47%, often 20+ points ahead of nearest challengers such as Requião Filho (PDT) and Rafael Greca (MDB). These results indicate potential first-round election under valid-vote thresholds. Alliances, including support from PL figures following the current governor’s split with Bolsonaro-aligned groups, have reinforced his frontrunner status ahead of the October vote. Lower probabilities for other declared candidates align with their consistent single-digit or low-teen polling shares and limited momentum in the current cycle.
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$41,363Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Sergio Moro (PL) holds a commanding position in the 2026 Paraná gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 84% consensus for his victory. Multiple recent polls, including Paraná Pesquisas, Genial/Quaest, Neokemp, and Veritá surveys from June through early August 2026, show him leading first-round voting intentions at 39–47%, often 20+ points ahead of nearest challengers such as Requião Filho (PDT) and Rafael Greca (MDB). These results indicate potential first-round election under valid-vote thresholds. Alliances, including support from PL figures following the current governor’s split with Bolsonaro-aligned groups, have reinforced his frontrunner status ahead of the October vote. Lower probabilities for other declared candidates align with their consistent single-digit or low-teen polling shares and limited momentum in the current cycle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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