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icon for Vencedor das eleições autárquicas de Cracóvia
Política·Krakao

Vencedor das eleições autárquicas de Cracóvia

icon for Vencedor das eleições autárquicas de Cracóvia
Política·Krakao

Vencedor das eleições autárquicas de Cracóvia

Paweł Śliz 57%

Łukasz Gibała 35%

Monika Piątkowska 27%

Daria Gosek-Popiołek 20%

Polymarket
NOVO

Paweł Śliz 57%

Łukasz Gibała 35%

Monika Piątkowska 27%

Daria Gosek-Popiołek 20%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Paweł Śliz

Paweł Śliz

$113 Vol.

57%

icon for Łukasz Gibała

Łukasz Gibała

$64 Vol.

34%

icon for Monika Piątkowska

Monika Piątkowska

$38 Vol.

27%

icon for Daria Gosek-Popiołek

Daria Gosek-Popiołek

$38 Vol.

20%

icon for Rafał Komarewicz

Rafał Komarewicz

$160 Vol.

13%

icon for Aleksandra Owca

Aleksandra Owca

$136 Vol.

9%

icon for Grażyna Zofia Świat

Grażyna Zofia Świat

$146 Vol.

9%

icon for Łukasz Wantuch

Łukasz Wantuch

$138 Vol.

7%

icon for Bartosz Bocheńczak

Bartosz Bocheńczak

$134 Vol.

7%

icon for Rafał Sonik

Rafał Sonik

$179 Vol.

7%

icon for Marian Banaś

Marian Banaś

$309 Vol.

6%

icon for Sławomir Pietrzyk

Sławomir Pietrzyk

$133 Vol.

6%

icon for Marta Ratuszyńska

Marta Ratuszyńska

$136 Vol.

4%

icon for Marianna Schreiber

Marianna Schreiber

$176 Vol.

3%

icon for Michał Drewnicki

Michał Drewnicki

$38 Vol.

23%

icon for Michał Klimek

Michał Klimek

$132 Vol.

1%

icon for Jan Hoffman

Jan Hoffman

$95 Vol.

31%

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.The crowded field in Kraków’s September 27 snap mayoral election, triggered by the successful recall referendum that removed Civic Coalition incumbent Aleksander Miszalski, has produced a fragmented race with no dominant frontrunner. Trader pricing reflects this dispersion, with Łukasz Gibała edging ahead at 34% implied probability while Paweł Śliz, Aleksandra Owca, Monika Piątkowska, and Michał Drewnicki cluster in the low-to-mid 20s and a long tail of independents and smaller-party candidates trail further. Recent candidate announcements from across the political spectrum, combined with the short campaign window and September 3 registration deadline, have kept support divided and limited any single contender’s ability to build momentum. Further separation could emerge from first-round polling, coalition endorsements, or withdrawals that consolidate votes ahead of a likely runoff.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Volume
$2,164
Data de Término
27 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.The crowded field in Kraków’s September 27 snap mayoral election, triggered by the successful recall referendum that removed Civic Coalition incumbent Aleksander Miszalski, has produced a fragmented race with no dominant frontrunner. Trader pricing reflects this dispersion, with Łukasz Gibała edging ahead at 34% implied probability while Paweł Śliz, Aleksandra Owca, Monika Piątkowska, and Michał Drewnicki cluster in the low-to-mid 20s and a long tail of independents and smaller-party candidates trail further. Recent candidate announcements from across the political spectrum, combined with the short campaign window and September 3 registration deadline, have kept support divided and limited any single contender’s ability to build momentum. Further separation could emerge from first-round polling, coalition endorsements, or withdrawals that consolidate votes ahead of a likely runoff.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Volume
$2,164
Data de Término
27 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das eleições autárquicas de Cracóvia" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Łukasz Gibała" at 34%, followed by "Jan Hoffman" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor das eleições autárquicas de Cracóvia" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor das eleições autárquicas de Cracóvia," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das eleições autárquicas de Cracóvia" is "Łukasz Gibała" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jan Hoffman" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das eleições autárquicas de Cracóvia" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.