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icon for Vencedor da eleição municipal de Oldenburg

Vencedor da eleição municipal de Oldenburg

icon for Vencedor da eleição municipal de Oldenburg

Vencedor da eleição municipal de Oldenburg

Ulf Prange 82%

Jascha Rohr 15%

Sebastian Fröhlich <1%

Heike Boldt <1%

Polymarket

$21,666 Vol.

Ulf Prange 82%

Jascha Rohr 15%

Sebastian Fröhlich <1%

Heike Boldt <1%

Polymarket

$21,666 Vol.

icon for Ulf Prange

Ulf Prange

$8,757 Vol.

78%

icon for Jascha Rohr

Jascha Rohr

$6,392 Vol.

15%

icon for Sebastian Fröhlich

Sebastian Fröhlich

$971 Vol.

<1%

icon for Heike Boldt

Heike Boldt

$881 Vol.

<1%

icon for Holger Martin Wilkens

Holger Martin Wilkens

$712 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yakup Castur

Yakup Castur

$517 Vol.

<1%

icon for Byanca Küßner

Byanca Küßner

$1,083 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michael Stille

Michael Stille

$1,134 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ralf Butzin

Ralf Butzin

$1,219 Vol.

<1%

The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.Ulf Prange leads trader pricing for the Oldenburg mayoral runoff because he topped the September 13 first round with 33.2 percent, ahead of Jascha Rohr’s 30.5 percent, in a nine-candidate field. The SPD nominee, a long-serving local councilor and state legislator, benefits from strong party organization and personal name recognition in the city. Rohr, backed jointly by the Greens and CDU as a non-partisan contender, advanced to the September 27 second round but trails in the initial tally. Lower odds on remaining candidates such as Heike Boldt and several independents reflect their failure to reach the runoff threshold. Elevated turnout and focus on housing costs plus municipal finances shaped the first-round outcome, with market prices now reflecting the two-candidate contest.

The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$21,666
Data de Término
13 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.Ulf Prange leads trader pricing for the Oldenburg mayoral runoff because he topped the September 13 first round with 33.2 percent, ahead of Jascha Rohr’s 30.5 percent, in a nine-candidate field. The SPD nominee, a long-serving local councilor and state legislator, benefits from strong party organization and personal name recognition in the city. Rohr, backed jointly by the Greens and CDU as a non-partisan contender, advanced to the September 27 second round but trails in the initial tally. Lower odds on remaining candidates such as Heike Boldt and several independents reflect their failure to reach the runoff threshold. Elevated turnout and focus on housing costs plus municipal finances shaped the first-round outcome, with market prices now reflecting the two-candidate contest.

The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$21,666
Data de Término
13 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição municipal de Oldenburg" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ulf Prange" at 79%, followed by "Jascha Rohr" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Oldenburg" has generated $21.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Oldenburg," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Oldenburg" is "Ulf Prange" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jascha Rohr" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição municipal de Oldenburg" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.