Current low water levels at the Kaub gauge on the Rhine, hovering well below the 77 cm navigation threshold, stem from an unusually prolonged summer drought and heatwaves across the catchment area that peaked in July and August 2026. These conditions produced record or near-record lows at multiple stations, disrupting shipping and mirroring patterns seen in 2018. With the current date in early September and no sustained recovery yet, trader consensus splits tightly between late-September and October normalization windows because autumn rainfall forecasts remain variable. Persistent dry spells or elevated temperatures could extend the low-water period into November or beyond, while timely precipitation in the upper Rhine basin would accelerate rebound and favor earlier resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQuando o Rio Reno retornará aos níveis normais?
Quando o Rio Reno retornará aos níveis normais?
1º a 31 de outubro de 2026 50%
15 a 30 de setembro de 2026 48%
Sem retorno antes de 1 de novembro de 2026 39%
Antes de 15 de setembro de 2026 6.0%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
Antes de 15 de setembro de 2026
9%
15 a 30 de setembro de 2026
48%
1º a 31 de outubro de 2026
50%
Sem retorno antes de 1 de novembro de 2026
39%
1º a 31 de outubro de 2026 50%
15 a 30 de setembro de 2026 48%
Sem retorno antes de 1 de novembro de 2026 39%
Antes de 15 de setembro de 2026 6.0%
NOVO
NOVO
15 set 2026
Antes de 15 de setembro de 2026
$86 Vol.
9%
15 a 30 de setembro de 2026
$0 Vol.
48%
1º a 31 de outubro de 2026
$0 Vol.
50%
Sem retorno antes de 1 de novembro de 2026
$0 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve according to the date (Berlin time) when the water level at the Kaub gauge (station 25700100) on the Rhine River first reaches or exceeds 77 centimeters, as reported by the German Federal Waterways and Shipping Administration (WSV) via PegelOnline.
A reading of 77 centimeters or higher is the equivalent water level (Gleichwertiger Wasserstand, GlW) for Kaub, the low-water reference mark below which shipping becomes structurally disrupted, and defines "normal levels" for this market.
The resolution is triggered by the first reading at or above 77 centimeters recorded on or after the market's start, representing a rise back to the threshold. A single reading at or above 77 centimeters is sufficient to trigger resolution; transient spikes count, and the water level does not need to be sustained at or above 77 centimeters for any period.
If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) are available on the resolution source, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026." If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) have not been recorded on the resolution source by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM Berlin time, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026."
The resolution source for this market will be PegelOnline (https://www.pegelonline.wsv.de/gast/stammdaten?pegelnr=25700100).Current low water levels at the Kaub gauge on the Rhine, hovering well below the 77 cm navigation threshold, stem from an unusually prolonged summer drought and heatwaves across the catchment area that peaked in July and August 2026. These conditions produced record or near-record lows at multiple stations, disrupting shipping and mirroring patterns seen in 2018. With the current date in early September and no sustained recovery yet, trader consensus splits tightly between late-September and October normalization windows because autumn rainfall forecasts remain variable. Persistent dry spells or elevated temperatures could extend the low-water period into November or beyond, while timely precipitation in the upper Rhine basin would accelerate rebound and favor earlier resolution.
This market will resolve according to the date (Berlin time) when the water level at the Kaub gauge (station 25700100) on the Rhine River first reaches or exceeds 77 centimeters, as reported by the German Federal Waterways and Shipping Administration (WSV) via PegelOnline.
A reading of 77 centimeters or higher is the equivalent water level (Gleichwertiger Wasserstand, GlW) for Kaub, the low-water reference mark below which shipping becomes structurally disrupted, and defines "normal levels" for this market.
The resolution is triggered by the first reading at or above 77 centimeters recorded on or after the market's start, representing a rise back to the threshold. A single reading at or above 77 centimeters is sufficient to trigger resolution; transient spikes count, and the water level does not need to be sustained at or above 77 centimeters for any period.
If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) are available on the resolution source, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026." If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) have not been recorded on the resolution source by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM Berlin time, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026."
The resolution source for this market will be PegelOnline (https://www.pegelonline.wsv.de/gast/stammdaten?pegelnr=25700100).
A reading of 77 centimeters or higher is the equivalent water level (Gleichwertiger Wasserstand, GlW) for Kaub, the low-water reference mark below which shipping becomes structurally disrupted, and defines "normal levels" for this market.
The resolution is triggered by the first reading at or above 77 centimeters recorded on or after the market's start, representing a rise back to the threshold. A single reading at or above 77 centimeters is sufficient to trigger resolution; transient spikes count, and the water level does not need to be sustained at or above 77 centimeters for any period.
If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) are available on the resolution source, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026." If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) have not been recorded on the resolution source by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM Berlin time, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026."
The resolution source for this market will be PegelOnline (https://www.pegelonline.wsv.de/gast/stammdaten?pegelnr=25700100).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 6, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
Volume
$86Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:26 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.pegelonline.wsv.de/gast/stammdaten?pegelnr=25700100Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date (Berlin time) when the water level at the Kaub gauge (station 25700100) on the Rhine River first reaches or exceeds 77 centimeters, as reported by the German Federal Waterways and Shipping Administration (WSV) via PegelOnline.
A reading of 77 centimeters or higher is the equivalent water level (Gleichwertiger Wasserstand, GlW) for Kaub, the low-water reference mark below which shipping becomes structurally disrupted, and defines "normal levels" for this market.
The resolution is triggered by the first reading at or above 77 centimeters recorded on or after the market's start, representing a rise back to the threshold. A single reading at or above 77 centimeters is sufficient to trigger resolution; transient spikes count, and the water level does not need to be sustained at or above 77 centimeters for any period.
If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) are available on the resolution source, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026." If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) have not been recorded on the resolution source by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM Berlin time, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026."
The resolution source for this market will be PegelOnline (https://www.pegelonline.wsv.de/gast/stammdaten?pegelnr=25700100).Current low water levels at the Kaub gauge on the Rhine, hovering well below the 77 cm navigation threshold, stem from an unusually prolonged summer drought and heatwaves across the catchment area that peaked in July and August 2026. These conditions produced record or near-record lows at multiple stations, disrupting shipping and mirroring patterns seen in 2018. With the current date in early September and no sustained recovery yet, trader consensus splits tightly between late-September and October normalization windows because autumn rainfall forecasts remain variable. Persistent dry spells or elevated temperatures could extend the low-water period into November or beyond, while timely precipitation in the upper Rhine basin would accelerate rebound and favor earlier resolution.
This market will resolve according to the date (Berlin time) when the water level at the Kaub gauge (station 25700100) on the Rhine River first reaches or exceeds 77 centimeters, as reported by the German Federal Waterways and Shipping Administration (WSV) via PegelOnline.
A reading of 77 centimeters or higher is the equivalent water level (Gleichwertiger Wasserstand, GlW) for Kaub, the low-water reference mark below which shipping becomes structurally disrupted, and defines "normal levels" for this market.
The resolution is triggered by the first reading at or above 77 centimeters recorded on or after the market's start, representing a rise back to the threshold. A single reading at or above 77 centimeters is sufficient to trigger resolution; transient spikes count, and the water level does not need to be sustained at or above 77 centimeters for any period.
If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) are available on the resolution source, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026." If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) have not been recorded on the resolution source by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM Berlin time, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026."
The resolution source for this market will be PegelOnline (https://www.pegelonline.wsv.de/gast/stammdaten?pegelnr=25700100).
A reading of 77 centimeters or higher is the equivalent water level (Gleichwertiger Wasserstand, GlW) for Kaub, the low-water reference mark below which shipping becomes structurally disrupted, and defines "normal levels" for this market.
The resolution is triggered by the first reading at or above 77 centimeters recorded on or after the market's start, representing a rise back to the threshold. A single reading at or above 77 centimeters is sufficient to trigger resolution; transient spikes count, and the water level does not need to be sustained at or above 77 centimeters for any period.
If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) are available on the resolution source, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026." If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) have not been recorded on the resolution source by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM Berlin time, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026."
The resolution source for this market will be PegelOnline (https://www.pegelonline.wsv.de/gast/stammdaten?pegelnr=25700100).
Volume
$86Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 6, 2026, 12:26 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.pegelonline.wsv.de/gast/stammdaten?pegelnr=25700100Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current low water levels at the Kaub gauge on the Rhine, hovering well below the 77 cm navigation threshold, stem from an unusually prolonged summer drought and heatwaves across the catchment area that peaked in July and August 2026. These conditions produced record or near-record lows at multiple stations, disrupting shipping and mirroring patterns seen in 2018. With the current date in early September and no sustained recovery yet, trader consensus splits tightly between late-September and October normalization windows because autumn rainfall forecasts remain variable. Persistent dry spells or elevated temperatures could extend the low-water period into November or beyond, while timely precipitation in the upper Rhine basin would accelerate rebound and favor earlier resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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