Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no hantavirus pandemic in 2026, with "No" at a 92% implied probability, reflecting the virus's inherent zoonotic epidemiology requiring direct exposure to infected rodent excreta rather than efficient human-to-human transmission. CDC and WHO data show only sporadic U.S. cases (20–40 annually for hantavirus pulmonary syndrome) and globally rare clusters, like the recent May 2026 Andes virus outbreak on the M/V Hondius cruise ship—eight cases (six confirmed), three deaths, now contained with low public health risk per official assessments. While Andes virus has enabled limited person-to-person spread in past South American incidents, no evidence of mutation or sustained chains exists; escalation would demand unprecedented viral adaptation or massive rodent infestations, unlikely given surveillance. Watch WHO/CDC updates through year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPandemia de hantavírus em 2026?
Pandemia de hantavírus em 2026?
Sim
$9,178,011 Vol.
$9,178,011 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
$9,178,011 Vol.
$9,178,011 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no hantavirus pandemic in 2026, with "No" at a 92% implied probability, reflecting the virus's inherent zoonotic epidemiology requiring direct exposure to infected rodent excreta rather than efficient human-to-human transmission. CDC and WHO data show only sporadic U.S. cases (20–40 annually for hantavirus pulmonary syndrome) and globally rare clusters, like the recent May 2026 Andes virus outbreak on the M/V Hondius cruise ship—eight cases (six confirmed), three deaths, now contained with low public health risk per official assessments. While Andes virus has enabled limited person-to-person spread in past South American incidents, no evidence of mutation or sustained chains exists; escalation would demand unprecedented viral adaptation or massive rodent infestations, unlikely given surveillance. Watch WHO/CDC updates through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
Volume
$9,178,011Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no hantavirus pandemic in 2026, with "No" at a 92% implied probability, reflecting the virus's inherent zoonotic epidemiology requiring direct exposure to infected rodent excreta rather than efficient human-to-human transmission. CDC and WHO data show only sporadic U.S. cases (20–40 annually for hantavirus pulmonary syndrome) and globally rare clusters, like the recent May 2026 Andes virus outbreak on the M/V Hondius cruise ship—eight cases (six confirmed), three deaths, now contained with low public health risk per official assessments. While Andes virus has enabled limited person-to-person spread in past South American incidents, no evidence of mutation or sustained chains exists; escalation would demand unprecedented viral adaptation or massive rodent infestations, unlikely given surveillance. Watch WHO/CDC updates through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$9,181,039Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no hantavirus pandemic in 2026, with "No" at a 92% implied probability, reflecting the virus's inherent zoonotic epidemiology requiring direct exposure to infected rodent excreta rather than efficient human-to-human transmission. CDC and WHO data show only sporadic U.S. cases (20–40 annually for hantavirus pulmonary syndrome) and globally rare clusters, like the recent May 2026 Andes virus outbreak on the M/V Hondius cruise ship—eight cases (six confirmed), three deaths, now contained with low public health risk per official assessments. While Andes virus has enabled limited person-to-person spread in past South American incidents, no evidence of mutation or sustained chains exists; escalation would demand unprecedented viral adaptation or massive rodent infestations, unlikely given surveillance. Watch WHO/CDC updates through year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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