Recent cooling after an intense mid-August heatwave across northern France has positioned minimum temperatures in Paris for August 17 near the long-term August average of 15–18 °C. Ensemble forecasts from major centers show nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow limiting further drops, with the most probable overnight low falling between 16 °C and 18 °C. Model guidance indicates modest day-to-day variability driven by residual warm advection and urban heat-island effects, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around these values. The implied probabilities reflect this consensus, with only small tail risk for sub-16 °C readings if clearer skies and lighter winds develop overnight. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance issued over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 17 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 17 de agosto?
18°C 42%
17°C 31%
16°C ou menos 13%
19°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
17 ago 2026
16°C ou menos
13%
17°C
31%
18°C
42%
19°C
10%
20°C
7%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C ou mais
<1%
18°C 42%
17°C 31%
16°C ou menos 13%
19°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
17 ago 2026
16°C ou menos
$166 Vol.
13%
17°C
$1,695 Vol.
31%
18°C
$467 Vol.
42%
19°C
$300 Vol.
10%
20°C
$115 Vol.
7%
21°C
$120 Vol.
2%
22°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,914 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$392 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
26°C ou mais
$228 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after an intense mid-August heatwave across northern France has positioned minimum temperatures in Paris for August 17 near the long-term August average of 15–18 °C. Ensemble forecasts from major centers show nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow limiting further drops, with the most probable overnight low falling between 16 °C and 18 °C. Model guidance indicates modest day-to-day variability driven by residual warm advection and urban heat-island effects, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around these values. The implied probabilities reflect this consensus, with only small tail risk for sub-16 °C readings if clearer skies and lighter winds develop overnight. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance issued over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$9,819Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after an intense mid-August heatwave across northern France has positioned minimum temperatures in Paris for August 17 near the long-term August average of 15–18 °C. Ensemble forecasts from major centers show nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow limiting further drops, with the most probable overnight low falling between 16 °C and 18 °C. Model guidance indicates modest day-to-day variability driven by residual warm advection and urban heat-island effects, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around these values. The implied probabilities reflect this consensus, with only small tail risk for sub-16 °C readings if clearer skies and lighter winds develop overnight. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance issued over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,819Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling after an intense mid-August heatwave across northern France has positioned minimum temperatures in Paris for August 17 near the long-term August average of 15–18 °C. Ensemble forecasts from major centers show nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow limiting further drops, with the most probable overnight low falling between 16 °C and 18 °C. Model guidance indicates modest day-to-day variability driven by residual warm advection and urban heat-island effects, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around these values. The implied probabilities reflect this consensus, with only small tail risk for sub-16 °C readings if clearer skies and lighter winds develop overnight. Updated model runs and Météo-France guidance issued over the next 48 hours will refine the exact minimum ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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