Latest ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models show Moscow's maximum temperature on August 16 most likely falling in the 24–25°C range, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on the precise strength of high-pressure ridging, the extent of warm-air advection from the south, and afternoon convective cloud cover that could moderate peak readings. Model consensus remains sensitive to new observational inputs and run-to-run variability, creating the observed near-even split in trader positioning around these thresholds. Mid-August climatology for the city centers near 22°C, placing current expectations modestly above seasonal norms.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 16 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 16 de agosto?
24°C 39%
25°C 34%
26°C 15%
23°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
16 ago 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
10%
24°C
39%
25°C
34%
26°C
15%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 39%
25°C 34%
26°C 15%
23°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
16 ago 2026
20°C or below
$873 Vol.
1%
21°C
$241 Vol.
1%
22°C
$103 Vol.
3%
23°C
$435 Vol.
10%
24°C
$215 Vol.
39%
25°C
$734 Vol.
34%
26°C
$377 Vol.
15%
27°C
$108 Vol.
3%
28°C
$277 Vol.
2%
29°C
$604 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$100 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models show Moscow's maximum temperature on August 16 most likely falling in the 24–25°C range, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on the precise strength of high-pressure ridging, the extent of warm-air advection from the south, and afternoon convective cloud cover that could moderate peak readings. Model consensus remains sensitive to new observational inputs and run-to-run variability, creating the observed near-even split in trader positioning around these thresholds. Mid-August climatology for the city centers near 22°C, placing current expectations modestly above seasonal norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,068Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models show Moscow's maximum temperature on August 16 most likely falling in the 24–25°C range, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on the precise strength of high-pressure ridging, the extent of warm-air advection from the south, and afternoon convective cloud cover that could moderate peak readings. Model consensus remains sensitive to new observational inputs and run-to-run variability, creating the observed near-even split in trader positioning around these thresholds. Mid-August climatology for the city centers near 22°C, placing current expectations modestly above seasonal norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,068Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models show Moscow's maximum temperature on August 16 most likely falling in the 24–25°C range, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on the precise strength of high-pressure ridging, the extent of warm-air advection from the south, and afternoon convective cloud cover that could moderate peak readings. Model consensus remains sensitive to new observational inputs and run-to-run variability, creating the observed near-even split in trader positioning around these thresholds. Mid-August climatology for the city centers near 22°C, placing current expectations modestly above seasonal norms.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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