Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for New York City on August 14, 2026, point to a daily high in the mid-80s Fahrenheit, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 86-87°F. This reflects typical mid-August conditions near Central Park, where the long-term normal high is approximately 84°F, under a warm but not extreme summer air mass with light winds and moderate humidity. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability, with no strong frontal passages or heat dome expected to push readings into the upper 80s or above 90°F. Monthly climate outlooks from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center lean above average for the period, yet short-range guidance keeps the most likely outcome tightly clustered in the 84-87°F range, explaining the heavy trading volume and implied probabilities in those bins. Updated forecast discussions and next model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Nova York em 14 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 14 de agosto?
86-87°F 50%
84-85°F 22%
88-89°F 20%
82-83°F 6%
NOVO
NOVO
14 ago 2026
81°F or below
2%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
50%
88-89°F
20%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 50%
84-85°F 22%
88-89°F 20%
82-83°F 6%
NOVO
NOVO
14 ago 2026
81°F or below
$685 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$986 Vol.
6%
84-85°F
$627 Vol.
22%
86-87°F
$870 Vol.
50%
88-89°F
$813 Vol.
20%
90-91°F
$762 Vol.
6%
92-93°F
$530 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$2,641 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$606 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$686 Vol.
<1%
100°F or higher
$616 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for New York City on August 14, 2026, point to a daily high in the mid-80s Fahrenheit, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 86-87°F. This reflects typical mid-August conditions near Central Park, where the long-term normal high is approximately 84°F, under a warm but not extreme summer air mass with light winds and moderate humidity. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability, with no strong frontal passages or heat dome expected to push readings into the upper 80s or above 90°F. Monthly climate outlooks from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center lean above average for the period, yet short-range guidance keeps the most likely outcome tightly clustered in the 84-87°F range, explaining the heavy trading volume and implied probabilities in those bins. Updated forecast discussions and next model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$9,822Data de Término
14 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for New York City on August 14, 2026, point to a daily high in the mid-80s Fahrenheit, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 86-87°F. This reflects typical mid-August conditions near Central Park, where the long-term normal high is approximately 84°F, under a warm but not extreme summer air mass with light winds and moderate humidity. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability, with no strong frontal passages or heat dome expected to push readings into the upper 80s or above 90°F. Monthly climate outlooks from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center lean above average for the period, yet short-range guidance keeps the most likely outcome tightly clustered in the 84-87°F range, explaining the heavy trading volume and implied probabilities in those bins. Updated forecast discussions and next model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,822Data de Término
14 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for New York City on August 14, 2026, point to a daily high in the mid-80s Fahrenheit, aligning with the market's strong consensus around 86-87°F. This reflects typical mid-August conditions near Central Park, where the long-term normal high is approximately 84°F, under a warm but not extreme summer air mass with light winds and moderate humidity. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability, with no strong frontal passages or heat dome expected to push readings into the upper 80s or above 90°F. Monthly climate outlooks from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center lean above average for the period, yet short-range guidance keeps the most likely outcome tightly clustered in the 84-87°F range, explaining the heavy trading volume and implied probabilities in those bins. Updated forecast discussions and next model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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