Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles on August 13 highlight the influence of a persistent marine layer and onshore flow, which are expected to moderate daytime heating and cap highs in the mid-70s, well below the typical August average of 85°F at downtown and coastal stations. This atmospheric setup, reinforced by patchy fog and cloudy conditions in latest model runs, positions 76-77°F as the leading outcome in the market at over 50% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the consensus guidance from NWS and related ensembles showing limited warming potential, with secondary odds on 74-75°F reflecting minor forecast spread. Updated model outputs and afternoon observations on August 12 will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official maximum temperature readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Los Angeles em 13 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Los Angeles em 13 de agosto?
76-77°F 54%
74-75°F 18%
78-79°F 11%
72-73°F 5%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
69°F ou menos
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
54%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
30-31°C
<1%
88°F ou mais
<1%
76-77°F 54%
74-75°F 18%
78-79°F 11%
72-73°F 5%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
69°F ou menos
$159 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$98 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$449 Vol.
5%
74-75°F
$2,276 Vol.
18%
76-77°F
$1,404 Vol.
54%
78-79°F
$570 Vol.
11%
80-81°F
$148 Vol.
4%
82-83°F
$65 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$132 Vol.
1%
30-31°C
$180 Vol.
<1%
88°F ou mais
$244 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles on August 13 highlight the influence of a persistent marine layer and onshore flow, which are expected to moderate daytime heating and cap highs in the mid-70s, well below the typical August average of 85°F at downtown and coastal stations. This atmospheric setup, reinforced by patchy fog and cloudy conditions in latest model runs, positions 76-77°F as the leading outcome in the market at over 50% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the consensus guidance from NWS and related ensembles showing limited warming potential, with secondary odds on 74-75°F reflecting minor forecast spread. Updated model outputs and afternoon observations on August 12 will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official maximum temperature readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$5,724Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles on August 13 highlight the influence of a persistent marine layer and onshore flow, which are expected to moderate daytime heating and cap highs in the mid-70s, well below the typical August average of 85°F at downtown and coastal stations. This atmospheric setup, reinforced by patchy fog and cloudy conditions in latest model runs, positions 76-77°F as the leading outcome in the market at over 50% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the consensus guidance from NWS and related ensembles showing limited warming potential, with secondary odds on 74-75°F reflecting minor forecast spread. Updated model outputs and afternoon observations on August 12 will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official maximum temperature readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,724Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles on August 13 highlight the influence of a persistent marine layer and onshore flow, which are expected to moderate daytime heating and cap highs in the mid-70s, well below the typical August average of 85°F at downtown and coastal stations. This atmospheric setup, reinforced by patchy fog and cloudy conditions in latest model runs, positions 76-77°F as the leading outcome in the market at over 50% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the consensus guidance from NWS and related ensembles showing limited warming potential, with secondary odds on 74-75°F reflecting minor forecast spread. Updated model outputs and afternoon observations on August 12 will likely refine resolution criteria tied to official maximum temperature readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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