Singapore’s National Environment Agency outlook for the first half of August 2026 points to drier southwest monsoon conditions and reduced rainfall, supporting daytime maxima of 33–34 °C on most days amid a developing El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole. These factors suppress cloud cover and allow stronger solar heating, pushing afternoon peaks above the long-term August average of 31 °C. Recent observations through early August show highs near 32 °C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms, consistent with model consensus for August 12. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 32 °C and 33 °C, while the low odds for 34 °C or higher reflect the narrow historical window for exceeding NEA’s upper guidance before any late-day convective cooling occurs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Singapura no dia 12 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Singapura no dia 12 de agosto?
32°C 54%
33°C 39%
34°C 7%
31°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
54%
33°C
39%
34°C
7%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 54%
33°C 39%
34°C 7%
31°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
27°C or below
$363 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$30 Vol.
1%
30°C
$10 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
5%
32°C
$72 Vol.
54%
33°C
$130 Vol.
39%
34°C
$128 Vol.
7%
35°C
$57 Vol.
1%
36°C
$12 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore’s National Environment Agency outlook for the first half of August 2026 points to drier southwest monsoon conditions and reduced rainfall, supporting daytime maxima of 33–34 °C on most days amid a developing El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole. These factors suppress cloud cover and allow stronger solar heating, pushing afternoon peaks above the long-term August average of 31 °C. Recent observations through early August show highs near 32 °C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms, consistent with model consensus for August 12. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 32 °C and 33 °C, while the low odds for 34 °C or higher reflect the narrow historical window for exceeding NEA’s upper guidance before any late-day convective cooling occurs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$824Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore’s National Environment Agency outlook for the first half of August 2026 points to drier southwest monsoon conditions and reduced rainfall, supporting daytime maxima of 33–34 °C on most days amid a developing El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole. These factors suppress cloud cover and allow stronger solar heating, pushing afternoon peaks above the long-term August average of 31 °C. Recent observations through early August show highs near 32 °C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms, consistent with model consensus for August 12. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 32 °C and 33 °C, while the low odds for 34 °C or higher reflect the narrow historical window for exceeding NEA’s upper guidance before any late-day convective cooling occurs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$824Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore’s National Environment Agency outlook for the first half of August 2026 points to drier southwest monsoon conditions and reduced rainfall, supporting daytime maxima of 33–34 °C on most days amid a developing El Niño and positive Indian Ocean Dipole. These factors suppress cloud cover and allow stronger solar heating, pushing afternoon peaks above the long-term August average of 31 °C. Recent observations through early August show highs near 32 °C under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms, consistent with model consensus for August 12. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 32 °C and 33 °C, while the low odds for 34 °C or higher reflect the narrow historical window for exceeding NEA’s upper guidance before any late-day convective cooling occurs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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