Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak daily high of 34–36°C in Shenzhen on August 12, with 35°C holding the strongest market-implied odds due to persistent subtropical high pressure, strong solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, and urban heat island effects amplifying surface temperatures amid high humidity. Weak steering winds and limited afternoon convection could allow brief clearing that pushes readings toward the upper end of the range, while scattered thunderstorms may cap intensity and favor 34°C. Recent runs show modest cooling trends from increased moisture, creating tight differentiation between these outcomes ahead of final model updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 12 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 12 de agosto?
35°C 38%
34°C 30%
36°C 17%
33°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
12%
34°C
30%
35°C
38%
36°C
17%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 38%
34°C 30%
36°C 17%
33°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
28°C or below
$383 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$383 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$82 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$30 Vol.
2%
32°C
$24 Vol.
5%
33°C
$161 Vol.
12%
34°C
$103 Vol.
30%
35°C
$601 Vol.
38%
36°C
$85 Vol.
17%
37°C
$137 Vol.
3%
38°C or higher
$233 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak daily high of 34–36°C in Shenzhen on August 12, with 35°C holding the strongest market-implied odds due to persistent subtropical high pressure, strong solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, and urban heat island effects amplifying surface temperatures amid high humidity. Weak steering winds and limited afternoon convection could allow brief clearing that pushes readings toward the upper end of the range, while scattered thunderstorms may cap intensity and favor 34°C. Recent runs show modest cooling trends from increased moisture, creating tight differentiation between these outcomes ahead of final model updates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$2,222Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak daily high of 34–36°C in Shenzhen on August 12, with 35°C holding the strongest market-implied odds due to persistent subtropical high pressure, strong solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, and urban heat island effects amplifying surface temperatures amid high humidity. Weak steering winds and limited afternoon convection could allow brief clearing that pushes readings toward the upper end of the range, while scattered thunderstorms may cap intensity and favor 34°C. Recent runs show modest cooling trends from increased moisture, creating tight differentiation between these outcomes ahead of final model updates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,222Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak daily high of 34–36°C in Shenzhen on August 12, with 35°C holding the strongest market-implied odds due to persistent subtropical high pressure, strong solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, and urban heat island effects amplifying surface temperatures amid high humidity. Weak steering winds and limited afternoon convection could allow brief clearing that pushes readings toward the upper end of the range, while scattered thunderstorms may cap intensity and favor 34°C. Recent runs show modest cooling trends from increased moisture, creating tight differentiation between these outcomes ahead of final model updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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