Recent forecasts from models and agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a peak of 32–34°C in Incheon on August 10 under lingering high pressure and reduced monsoon moisture, with trader emphasis on 33°C reflecting ensemble consensus around modest daytime heating. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea limits extremes compared to inland Seoul, while urban heat-island effects and humidity near 60–70% can add 1–2°C to perceived maxima without shifting official dry-bulb readings. Subtle differences among 32–34°C outcomes hinge on cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day sea-breeze onset that caps afternoon peaks, all within normal late-summer variability for the region. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.