Recent forecast guidance from sources like the Met Office points to predominantly sunny, high-pressure conditions over Istanbul through August 10, supporting daytime maxima near 28–29°C, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to those outcomes. Localized sea breezes from the Bosphorus and potential afternoon cloud development are expected to moderate peak readings at official Turkish Meteorological Service stations by 1–3°C relative to broader model guidance. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 28–30°C under similar synoptic patterns, while the absence of approaching fronts or significant moisture in the latest model runs keeps 27–29°C firmly in focus ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 10 de agosto?
28°C 52%
27°C 33%
29°C 29%
26°C 23%
23°C ou menos
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
23%
27°C
33%
28°C
41%
29°C
29%
30°C
5%
31°C
4%
32°C
4%
33°C ou mais
2%
28°C 52%
27°C 33%
29°C 29%
26°C 23%
23°C ou menos
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
23%
27°C
33%
28°C
41%
29°C
29%
30°C
5%
31°C
4%
32°C
4%
33°C ou mais
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from sources like the Met Office points to predominantly sunny, high-pressure conditions over Istanbul through August 10, supporting daytime maxima near 28–29°C, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to those outcomes. Localized sea breezes from the Bosphorus and potential afternoon cloud development are expected to moderate peak readings at official Turkish Meteorological Service stations by 1–3°C relative to broader model guidance. Historical August climatology shows average highs of 28–30°C under similar synoptic patterns, while the absence of approaching fronts or significant moisture in the latest model runs keeps 27–29°C firmly in focus ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions