Recent high-pressure dominance across southern England, combined with a warming airmass and mostly clear skies, has driven trader consensus toward overnight minima of 18–19°C in London on August 10. Under these conditions, strong radiative cooling overnight is tempered by residual warmth from daytime highs near 27–29°C and the urban heat island effect, which typically adds 1–2°C to city-center lows compared with rural sites. Ensemble guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF shows tight clustering around 17–19°C, with minor spread arising from subtle variations in cloud cover and wind speed that could either enhance or suppress cooling. Historical August climatology supports this range, though the current settled pattern slightly elevates the odds for the higher end of the distribution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 10 de agosto?
19°C 39%
18°C 36%
17°C 12%
20°C 12%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
12%
18°C
36%
19°C
39%
20°C
12%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C ou mais
1%
19°C 39%
18°C 36%
17°C 12%
20°C 12%
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
12%
18°C
36%
19°C
39%
20°C
12%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C ou mais
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-pressure dominance across southern England, combined with a warming airmass and mostly clear skies, has driven trader consensus toward overnight minima of 18–19°C in London on August 10. Under these conditions, strong radiative cooling overnight is tempered by residual warmth from daytime highs near 27–29°C and the urban heat island effect, which typically adds 1–2°C to city-center lows compared with rural sites. Ensemble guidance from the Met Office and ECMWF shows tight clustering around 17–19°C, with minor spread arising from subtle variations in cloud cover and wind speed that could either enhance or suppress cooling. Historical August climatology supports this range, though the current settled pattern slightly elevates the odds for the higher end of the distribution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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