Trader consensus clustering on 32–33°C for Shanghai’s August 8 high reflects the latest ensemble forecasts showing modest cooling from recent 35–37°C peaks, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating subtropical high pressure. High relative humidity and urban heat-island effects will influence realized maxima, while model spread in precipitation timing and intensity creates the narrow edge between those two outcomes. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and updated global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Xangai no dia 8 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Xangai no dia 8 de agosto?
32°C 36%
33°C 36%
31°C 19%
34°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
8 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
19%
32°C
36%
33°C
36%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
2%
32°C 36%
33°C 36%
31°C 19%
34°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
8 ago 2026
27°C or below
$75 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$75 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$80 Vol.
1%
30°C
$813 Vol.
4%
31°C
$686 Vol.
19%
32°C
$297 Vol.
36%
33°C
$151 Vol.
36%
34°C
$162 Vol.
11%
35°C
$137 Vol.
2%
36°C
$16 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clustering on 32–33°C for Shanghai’s August 8 high reflects the latest ensemble forecasts showing modest cooling from recent 35–37°C peaks, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating subtropical high pressure. High relative humidity and urban heat-island effects will influence realized maxima, while model spread in precipitation timing and intensity creates the narrow edge between those two outcomes. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and updated global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$2,503Data de Término
8 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clustering on 32–33°C for Shanghai’s August 8 high reflects the latest ensemble forecasts showing modest cooling from recent 35–37°C peaks, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating subtropical high pressure. High relative humidity and urban heat-island effects will influence realized maxima, while model spread in precipitation timing and intensity creates the narrow edge between those two outcomes. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and updated global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,503Data de Término
8 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clustering on 32–33°C for Shanghai’s August 8 high reflects the latest ensemble forecasts showing modest cooling from recent 35–37°C peaks, driven by increasing cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating subtropical high pressure. High relative humidity and urban heat-island effects will influence realized maxima, while model spread in precipitation timing and intensity creates the narrow edge between those two outcomes. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and updated global model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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