Forecast models from agencies monitoring Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate point to a daily maximum of 35–37°C on August 8, driven by light winds, high humidity, and periods of strong solar heating under partly cloudy skies that favor the leading 36°C bracket at 35.5% implied probability. Recent observations show temperatures climbing from the early-August climatological average of ~32°C, with August 7 forecasts already supporting peaks near 34–35°C amid stable pressure patterns and minimal rain interference. These conditions align with historical analogs for peak summer heat in the Pearl River Delta when steering flows limit cloud cover, though afternoon showers or thicker cloud decks could cap readings closer to 34–35°C. Official station data will determine the exact high, with traders weighting model consensus and short-term updates heavily in this time-sensitive market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 8 de agosto?
36°C 35%
35°C 25%
37°C 23%
34°C 12%
$11,376 Vol.
$11,376 Vol.
30°C ou menos
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
12%
35°C
25%
36°C
35%
37°C
23%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C ou mais
<1%
36°C 35%
35°C 25%
37°C 23%
34°C 12%
$11,376 Vol.
$11,376 Vol.
30°C ou menos
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
12%
35°C
25%
36°C
35%
37°C
23%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies monitoring Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate point to a daily maximum of 35–37°C on August 8, driven by light winds, high humidity, and periods of strong solar heating under partly cloudy skies that favor the leading 36°C bracket at 35.5% implied probability. Recent observations show temperatures climbing from the early-August climatological average of ~32°C, with August 7 forecasts already supporting peaks near 34–35°C amid stable pressure patterns and minimal rain interference. These conditions align with historical analogs for peak summer heat in the Pearl River Delta when steering flows limit cloud cover, though afternoon showers or thicker cloud decks could cap readings closer to 34–35°C. Official station data will determine the exact high, with traders weighting model consensus and short-term updates heavily in this time-sensitive market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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