Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate limited overnight radiational cooling for New York City on August 8, with projected minimum temperatures clustered in the upper 70s amid a persistent warm, humid air mass and a heat advisory through Saturday evening. High dew points near 75°F suppress temperature drops by reducing the diurnal range, while urban heat island effects and southerly flow maintain elevated readings consistent with the market's leading 76–79°F outcomes at 70% combined implied probability. Recent model runs show minimal shifts from these values, though any increased cloud cover or thunderstorm activity could modestly lower the minimum. Historical August climatology places typical NYC lows near 70°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth supporting trader consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 8 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 8 de agosto?
76-77°F 41%
78-79°F 30%
74-75°F 19%
72-73°F 5%
NOVO
NOVO
8 ago 2026
18°C ou menos
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
41%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
1%
84°F ou mais
1%
76-77°F 41%
78-79°F 30%
74-75°F 19%
72-73°F 5%
NOVO
NOVO
8 ago 2026
18°C ou menos
$43 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$80 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$17 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$23 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$51 Vol.
5%
74-75°F
$85 Vol.
19%
76-77°F
$901 Vol.
41%
78-79°F
$160 Vol.
30%
80-81°F
$60 Vol.
5%
82-83°F
$410 Vol.
1%
84°F ou mais
$31 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate limited overnight radiational cooling for New York City on August 8, with projected minimum temperatures clustered in the upper 70s amid a persistent warm, humid air mass and a heat advisory through Saturday evening. High dew points near 75°F suppress temperature drops by reducing the diurnal range, while urban heat island effects and southerly flow maintain elevated readings consistent with the market's leading 76–79°F outcomes at 70% combined implied probability. Recent model runs show minimal shifts from these values, though any increased cloud cover or thunderstorm activity could modestly lower the minimum. Historical August climatology places typical NYC lows near 70°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth supporting trader consensus.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 6, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$1,862Data de Término
8 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate limited overnight radiational cooling for New York City on August 8, with projected minimum temperatures clustered in the upper 70s amid a persistent warm, humid air mass and a heat advisory through Saturday evening. High dew points near 75°F suppress temperature drops by reducing the diurnal range, while urban heat island effects and southerly flow maintain elevated readings consistent with the market's leading 76–79°F outcomes at 70% combined implied probability. Recent model runs show minimal shifts from these values, though any increased cloud cover or thunderstorm activity could modestly lower the minimum. Historical August climatology places typical NYC lows near 70°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth supporting trader consensus.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,862Data de Término
8 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate limited overnight radiational cooling for New York City on August 8, with projected minimum temperatures clustered in the upper 70s amid a persistent warm, humid air mass and a heat advisory through Saturday evening. High dew points near 75°F suppress temperature drops by reducing the diurnal range, while urban heat island effects and southerly flow maintain elevated readings consistent with the market's leading 76–79°F outcomes at 70% combined implied probability. Recent model runs show minimal shifts from these values, though any increased cloud cover or thunderstorm activity could modestly lower the minimum. Historical August climatology places typical NYC lows near 70°F, underscoring the anomalous warmth supporting trader consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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