Recent short-range forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shenzhen's August 7 peak will likely fall in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, driven by typical subtropical monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime heating from scattered convection. Current early-August observations show daily maxima near 30–32°C with no strong heatwave signals or anomalous steering patterns, supporting trader consensus around 33–35°C outcomes as the most probable range while leaving room for minor upward revisions from clearer skies or downward shifts from increased rainfall. Historical August baselines average 30–32°C highs, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window two days out.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 7 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 7 de agosto?
34°C 39%
35°C 24%
33°C 21%
36°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
7 ago 2026
28°C ou menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
21%
34°C
39%
35°C
24%
36°C
9%
37°C
5%
38°C ou mais
1%
34°C 39%
35°C 24%
33°C 21%
36°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
7 ago 2026
28°C ou menos
$662 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$434 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$523 Vol.
2%
32°C
$333 Vol.
4%
33°C
$534 Vol.
21%
34°C
$1,988 Vol.
39%
35°C
$1,114 Vol.
24%
36°C
$874 Vol.
9%
37°C
$387 Vol.
5%
38°C ou mais
$389 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shenzhen's August 7 peak will likely fall in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, driven by typical subtropical monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime heating from scattered convection. Current early-August observations show daily maxima near 30–32°C with no strong heatwave signals or anomalous steering patterns, supporting trader consensus around 33–35°C outcomes as the most probable range while leaving room for minor upward revisions from clearer skies or downward shifts from increased rainfall. Historical August baselines average 30–32°C highs, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$7,459Data de Término
7 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shenzhen's August 7 peak will likely fall in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, driven by typical subtropical monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime heating from scattered convection. Current early-August observations show daily maxima near 30–32°C with no strong heatwave signals or anomalous steering patterns, supporting trader consensus around 33–35°C outcomes as the most probable range while leaving room for minor upward revisions from clearer skies or downward shifts from increased rainfall. Historical August baselines average 30–32°C highs, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window two days out.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,459Data de Término
7 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shenzhen's August 7 peak will likely fall in the low-to-mid 30s Celsius, driven by typical subtropical monsoon conditions featuring high humidity, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime heating from scattered convection. Current early-August observations show daily maxima near 30–32°C with no strong heatwave signals or anomalous steering patterns, supporting trader consensus around 33–35°C outcomes as the most probable range while leaving room for minor upward revisions from clearer skies or downward shifts from increased rainfall. Historical August baselines average 30–32°C highs, underscoring the narrow uncertainty window two days out.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions