Ongoing heatwave conditions across the Korean Peninsula, reinforced by a strong subtropical high-pressure system and elevated humidity, are anchoring trader consensus around a 27–28°C overnight low for Incheon on August 7. Official KMA monitoring and short-range model guidance show persistent nighttime temperatures in this range, consistent with climatological August minima near 23–25°C but elevated by the current heatwave emergency alerts and urban heat-island effects in the Seoul metropolitan area. Recent forecasts from multiple sources project a morning low near 28°C under mostly clear skies with limited radiative cooling, while any slight downward revision would require an unexpected influx of cooler marine air or increased cloud cover. Updated KMA briefings and ensemble model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for shifts in these market-implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 7 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 7 de agosto?
28°C 70%
27°C 41%
29°C 22%
26°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
7 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
9%
27°C
41%
28°C
56%
29°C
22%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C ou mais
<1%
28°C 70%
27°C 41%
29°C 22%
26°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
7 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
$20 Vol.
1%
24°C
$55 Vol.
4%
25°C
$32 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
9%
27°C
$30 Vol.
41%
28°C
$13 Vol.
56%
29°C
$5 Vol.
22%
30°C
$164 Vol.
8%
31°C
$60 Vol.
2%
32°C
$50 Vol.
1%
33°C ou mais
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across the Korean Peninsula, reinforced by a strong subtropical high-pressure system and elevated humidity, are anchoring trader consensus around a 27–28°C overnight low for Incheon on August 7. Official KMA monitoring and short-range model guidance show persistent nighttime temperatures in this range, consistent with climatological August minima near 23–25°C but elevated by the current heatwave emergency alerts and urban heat-island effects in the Seoul metropolitan area. Recent forecasts from multiple sources project a morning low near 28°C under mostly clear skies with limited radiative cooling, while any slight downward revision would require an unexpected influx of cooler marine air or increased cloud cover. Updated KMA briefings and ensemble model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for shifts in these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$475Data de Término
7 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across the Korean Peninsula, reinforced by a strong subtropical high-pressure system and elevated humidity, are anchoring trader consensus around a 27–28°C overnight low for Incheon on August 7. Official KMA monitoring and short-range model guidance show persistent nighttime temperatures in this range, consistent with climatological August minima near 23–25°C but elevated by the current heatwave emergency alerts and urban heat-island effects in the Seoul metropolitan area. Recent forecasts from multiple sources project a morning low near 28°C under mostly clear skies with limited radiative cooling, while any slight downward revision would require an unexpected influx of cooler marine air or increased cloud cover. Updated KMA briefings and ensemble model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for shifts in these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$475Data de Término
7 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across the Korean Peninsula, reinforced by a strong subtropical high-pressure system and elevated humidity, are anchoring trader consensus around a 27–28°C overnight low for Incheon on August 7. Official KMA monitoring and short-range model guidance show persistent nighttime temperatures in this range, consistent with climatological August minima near 23–25°C but elevated by the current heatwave emergency alerts and urban heat-island effects in the Seoul metropolitan area. Recent forecasts from multiple sources project a morning low near 28°C under mostly clear skies with limited radiative cooling, while any slight downward revision would require an unexpected influx of cooler marine air or increased cloud cover. Updated KMA briefings and ensemble model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for shifts in these market-implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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