Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models show overcast skies with light rain across Shanghai on August 5, 2026, which limits surface heating and caps the daily maximum near 33°C. This aligns with August climatology of 31–35°C highs while current synoptic conditions suppress peak temperatures through reduced insolation. The market’s 99.5% implied probability for exactly 33°C reflects strong model consensus and real-time trader assessment of these factors. Clearer skies or delayed precipitation could allow modest additional warming toward 34°C, though station measurements from Shanghai’s meteorological network make significant deviations unlikely on the resolution day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Xangai no dia 5 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Xangai no dia 5 de agosto?
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
$117,177 Vol.
$117,177 Vol.
5 ago 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
$117,177 Vol.
$117,177 Vol.
5 ago 2026
28°C or below
$259 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,088 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,930 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$13,869 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$21,412 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$28,476 Vol.
100%
34°C
$15,856 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$18,225 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$8,799 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$2,325 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$939 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models show overcast skies with light rain across Shanghai on August 5, 2026, which limits surface heating and caps the daily maximum near 33°C. This aligns with August climatology of 31–35°C highs while current synoptic conditions suppress peak temperatures through reduced insolation. The market’s 99.5% implied probability for exactly 33°C reflects strong model consensus and real-time trader assessment of these factors. Clearer skies or delayed precipitation could allow modest additional warming toward 34°C, though station measurements from Shanghai’s meteorological network make significant deviations unlikely on the resolution day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$117,177Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models show overcast skies with light rain across Shanghai on August 5, 2026, which limits surface heating and caps the daily maximum near 33°C. This aligns with August climatology of 31–35°C highs while current synoptic conditions suppress peak temperatures through reduced insolation. The market’s 99.5% implied probability for exactly 33°C reflects strong model consensus and real-time trader assessment of these factors. Clearer skies or delayed precipitation could allow modest additional warming toward 34°C, though station measurements from Shanghai’s meteorological network make significant deviations unlikely on the resolution day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$117,177Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models show overcast skies with light rain across Shanghai on August 5, 2026, which limits surface heating and caps the daily maximum near 33°C. This aligns with August climatology of 31–35°C highs while current synoptic conditions suppress peak temperatures through reduced insolation. The market’s 99.5% implied probability for exactly 33°C reflects strong model consensus and real-time trader assessment of these factors. Clearer skies or delayed precipitation could allow modest additional warming toward 34°C, though station measurements from Shanghai’s meteorological network make significant deviations unlikely on the resolution day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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