Recent official forecasts and observational data from agencies monitoring southern China show Guangzhou under typical August subtropical conditions, with afternoon peaks driven by high solar insolation, elevated humidity, and limited cloud cover before potential showers. Model consensus and station readings point to a daily maximum near 35°C, aligning with the month’s climatological average high of 33–35°C and recent daily observations that have touched or slightly exceeded this threshold. Trader positioning at 96.5% for 35°C reflects this evidence-based assessment of current atmospheric conditions and short-term model runs. A realistic shift away from this outcome would require unexpected stronger convective activity, rapid wind shifts, or revised surface observations lowering the recorded peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Guangzhou no dia 5 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Guangzhou no dia 5 de agosto?
35°C 98%
36°C 3%
37°C <1%
38°C ou mais <1%
$76,104 Vol.
$76,104 Vol.
5 ago 2026
28°C ou menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
98%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C ou mais
<1%
35°C 98%
36°C 3%
37°C <1%
38°C ou mais <1%
$76,104 Vol.
$76,104 Vol.
5 ago 2026
28°C ou menos
$279 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$407 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$814 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,297 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$8,419 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$6,825 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$17,977 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$10,715 Vol.
98%
36°C
$8,348 Vol.
3%
37°C
$11,075 Vol.
<1%
38°C ou mais
$11,374 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and observational data from agencies monitoring southern China show Guangzhou under typical August subtropical conditions, with afternoon peaks driven by high solar insolation, elevated humidity, and limited cloud cover before potential showers. Model consensus and station readings point to a daily maximum near 35°C, aligning with the month’s climatological average high of 33–35°C and recent daily observations that have touched or slightly exceeded this threshold. Trader positioning at 96.5% for 35°C reflects this evidence-based assessment of current atmospheric conditions and short-term model runs. A realistic shift away from this outcome would require unexpected stronger convective activity, rapid wind shifts, or revised surface observations lowering the recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$76,104Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and observational data from agencies monitoring southern China show Guangzhou under typical August subtropical conditions, with afternoon peaks driven by high solar insolation, elevated humidity, and limited cloud cover before potential showers. Model consensus and station readings point to a daily maximum near 35°C, aligning with the month’s climatological average high of 33–35°C and recent daily observations that have touched or slightly exceeded this threshold. Trader positioning at 96.5% for 35°C reflects this evidence-based assessment of current atmospheric conditions and short-term model runs. A realistic shift away from this outcome would require unexpected stronger convective activity, rapid wind shifts, or revised surface observations lowering the recorded peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$76,104Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and observational data from agencies monitoring southern China show Guangzhou under typical August subtropical conditions, with afternoon peaks driven by high solar insolation, elevated humidity, and limited cloud cover before potential showers. Model consensus and station readings point to a daily maximum near 35°C, aligning with the month’s climatological average high of 33–35°C and recent daily observations that have touched or slightly exceeded this threshold. Trader positioning at 96.5% for 35°C reflects this evidence-based assessment of current atmospheric conditions and short-term model runs. A realistic shift away from this outcome would require unexpected stronger convective activity, rapid wind shifts, or revised surface observations lowering the recorded peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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