Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 7 project overnight minimums of 14–15 °C under building high pressure, light winds, and partly clear skies that favor radiative cooling. Numerical models from the Met Office and ECMWF show tight clustering around these values, with limited spread due to stable synoptic patterns following a mild early-August period. Historical August climatology places average London lows near 13–14 °C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 13–15 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and official guidance releases over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift the narrow probability distribution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 7 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 7 de agosto?
14°C 52%
13°C 27%
15°C 22%
16°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
7 ago 2026
10°C ou menos
2%
11°C
7%
12°C
8%
13°C
29%
14°C
52%
15°C
22%
16°C
12%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C ou mais
1%
14°C 52%
13°C 27%
15°C 22%
16°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
7 ago 2026
10°C ou menos
$11 Vol.
2%
11°C
$0 Vol.
7%
12°C
$0 Vol.
8%
13°C
$89 Vol.
29%
14°C
$76 Vol.
52%
15°C
$77 Vol.
22%
16°C
$23 Vol.
12%
17°C
$87 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$81 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$60 Vol.
<1%
20°C ou mais
$20 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 7 project overnight minimums of 14–15 °C under building high pressure, light winds, and partly clear skies that favor radiative cooling. Numerical models from the Met Office and ECMWF show tight clustering around these values, with limited spread due to stable synoptic patterns following a mild early-August period. Historical August climatology places average London lows near 13–14 °C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 13–15 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and official guidance releases over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift the narrow probability distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$524Data de Término
7 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 7 project overnight minimums of 14–15 °C under building high pressure, light winds, and partly clear skies that favor radiative cooling. Numerical models from the Met Office and ECMWF show tight clustering around these values, with limited spread due to stable synoptic patterns following a mild early-August period. Historical August climatology places average London lows near 13–14 °C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 13–15 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and official guidance releases over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift the narrow probability distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$524Data de Término
7 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 7 project overnight minimums of 14–15 °C under building high pressure, light winds, and partly clear skies that favor radiative cooling. Numerical models from the Met Office and ECMWF show tight clustering around these values, with limited spread due to stable synoptic patterns following a mild early-August period. Historical August climatology places average London lows near 13–14 °C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 13–15 °C outcomes. Updated model runs and official guidance releases over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift the narrow probability distribution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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