Recent short-term forecasts from models like those referenced by AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Chengdu highs near 31–34°C for August 7 amid typical Sichuan Basin summer humidity and scattered showers that can suppress peak readings. This uncertainty drives the tight clustering around 31–33°C in trader consensus, as afternoon convection and variable cloud cover remain key variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August averages hover near 30–32°C, with occasional spikes above 34°C under clearer, subsiding conditions. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria around official meteorological service measurements.