Seasonal climatology drives the near-certain market consensus on a 35°C or higher peak in Chengdu on August 5, as the city lies in the humid subtropical Sichuan basin where August ranks among the hottest months. Long-term averages place daytime maxima at 30–34°C, frequently climbing above 35°C during early-month heat influenced by the western Pacific subtropical high, with recent extended forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather projecting 34–36°C highs amid high humidity that amplifies perceived heat but does not alter recorded values. Official monitoring and model consensus support this range, consistent with prior August days exceeding the threshold. A strong cold front or persistent heavy rainfall could suppress temperatures below 35°C, though such shifts remain uncommon in mid-summer patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chengdu no dia 5 de agosto?
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$62,742 Vol.
$62,742 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$62,742 Vol.
$62,742 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Seasonal climatology drives the near-certain market consensus on a 35°C or higher peak in Chengdu on August 5, as the city lies in the humid subtropical Sichuan basin where August ranks among the hottest months. Long-term averages place daytime maxima at 30–34°C, frequently climbing above 35°C during early-month heat influenced by the western Pacific subtropical high, with recent extended forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather projecting 34–36°C highs amid high humidity that amplifies perceived heat but does not alter recorded values. Official monitoring and model consensus support this range, consistent with prior August days exceeding the threshold. A strong cold front or persistent heavy rainfall could suppress temperatures below 35°C, though such shifts remain uncommon in mid-summer patterns.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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