Trader consensus favors 28–29°C as the highest temperature in Manila on August 7 due to enhanced southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions driven by Tropical Cyclone Dolphin. Official PAGASA forecasts indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms over western Luzon, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima near 30–31°C. These monsoon-influenced patterns, common in August, introduce persistent cloud cover and precipitation that historically suppress peaks below the 31°C seasonal average. Recent model guidance and current observations of similar setups on August 4–6 reinforce this downward pressure on temperatures, with resolution hinging on final observational data from Manila stations amid ongoing moisture influx.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila no dia 7 de agosto?
29°C 43%
28°C 29%
30°C 18%
27°C 10%
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
10%
28°C
29%
29°C
43%
30°C
18%
31°C
10%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C ou mais
<1%
29°C 43%
28°C 29%
30°C 18%
27°C 10%
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
10%
28°C
29%
29°C
43%
30°C
18%
31°C
10%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 28–29°C as the highest temperature in Manila on August 7 due to enhanced southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions driven by Tropical Cyclone Dolphin. Official PAGASA forecasts indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered rains and thunderstorms over western Luzon, limiting solar heating and capping daytime maxima near 30–31°C. These monsoon-influenced patterns, common in August, introduce persistent cloud cover and precipitation that historically suppress peaks below the 31°C seasonal average. Recent model guidance and current observations of similar setups on August 4–6 reinforce this downward pressure on temperatures, with resolution hinging on final observational data from Manila stations amid ongoing moisture influx.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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