Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of 14°C in London on August 5, yet market odds cluster tightly around 18–19°C, reflecting trader assessment of limited overnight radiative cooling under lingering warm, humid air from the prior day’s 29°C peak. Key differentiators include variable cloud cover that could suppress temperature drops by 2–3°C, light winds reducing mixing, and London’s urban heat island effect, which often elevates minimums 1–2°C above rural forecasts. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty in exact dew-point depression and boundary-layer evolution overnight, with any increase in clear skies favoring the lower outcome while persistent humidity supports the higher. Updated guidance later today will clarify these variables ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 5 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 5 de agosto?
18°C 51%
19°C 43%
17°C 1.7%
15°C <1%
$37,344 Vol.
$37,344 Vol.
5 ago 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
51%
19°C
43%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 51%
19°C 43%
17°C 1.7%
15°C <1%
$37,344 Vol.
$37,344 Vol.
5 ago 2026
13°C or below
$1,564 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,204 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$4,269 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$3,167 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$6,918 Vol.
2%
18°C
$4,799 Vol.
51%
19°C
$5,856 Vol.
43%
20°C
$6,177 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,658 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$342 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$391 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of 14°C in London on August 5, yet market odds cluster tightly around 18–19°C, reflecting trader assessment of limited overnight radiative cooling under lingering warm, humid air from the prior day’s 29°C peak. Key differentiators include variable cloud cover that could suppress temperature drops by 2–3°C, light winds reducing mixing, and London’s urban heat island effect, which often elevates minimums 1–2°C above rural forecasts. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty in exact dew-point depression and boundary-layer evolution overnight, with any increase in clear skies favoring the lower outcome while persistent humidity supports the higher. Updated guidance later today will clarify these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$37,344Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of 14°C in London on August 5, yet market odds cluster tightly around 18–19°C, reflecting trader assessment of limited overnight radiative cooling under lingering warm, humid air from the prior day’s 29°C peak. Key differentiators include variable cloud cover that could suppress temperature drops by 2–3°C, light winds reducing mixing, and London’s urban heat island effect, which often elevates minimums 1–2°C above rural forecasts. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty in exact dew-point depression and boundary-layer evolution overnight, with any increase in clear skies favoring the lower outcome while persistent humidity supports the higher. Updated guidance later today will clarify these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,344Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance points to a minimum of 14°C in London on August 5, yet market odds cluster tightly around 18–19°C, reflecting trader assessment of limited overnight radiative cooling under lingering warm, humid air from the prior day’s 29°C peak. Key differentiators include variable cloud cover that could suppress temperature drops by 2–3°C, light winds reducing mixing, and London’s urban heat island effect, which often elevates minimums 1–2°C above rural forecasts. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty in exact dew-point depression and boundary-layer evolution overnight, with any increase in clear skies favoring the lower outcome while persistent humidity supports the higher. Updated guidance later today will clarify these variables ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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