Strong model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration supports a minimum temperature of 27°C in Shanghai on August 5, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and typical late-summer monsoon conditions that limit nocturnal cooling. Overnight lows near this threshold align with recent observational trends and ensemble forecasts showing limited variability from cloud cover or precipitation. Traders assign 98.5% implied probability to 27°C because deviations would require atypical atmospheric shifts, such as stronger cold advection or unforecasted convective activity, which current guidance does not indicate. Resolution depends on official station readings, with minor model spread introducing limited uncertainty near the close of the trading window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai no dia 5 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Xangai no dia 5 de agosto?
27°C 99%
26°C 1.6%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$33,634 Vol.
$33,634 Vol.
5 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
27°C 99%
26°C 1.6%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$33,634 Vol.
$33,634 Vol.
5 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
$1,016 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,672 Vol.
1%
24°C
$3,142 Vol.
1%
25°C
$2,750 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,901 Vol.
2%
27°C
$4,585 Vol.
99%
28°C
$3,587 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$9,246 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,871 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$512 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou mais
$2,353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration supports a minimum temperature of 27°C in Shanghai on August 5, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and typical late-summer monsoon conditions that limit nocturnal cooling. Overnight lows near this threshold align with recent observational trends and ensemble forecasts showing limited variability from cloud cover or precipitation. Traders assign 98.5% implied probability to 27°C because deviations would require atypical atmospheric shifts, such as stronger cold advection or unforecasted convective activity, which current guidance does not indicate. Resolution depends on official station readings, with minor model spread introducing limited uncertainty near the close of the trading window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$33,634Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration supports a minimum temperature of 27°C in Shanghai on August 5, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and typical late-summer monsoon conditions that limit nocturnal cooling. Overnight lows near this threshold align with recent observational trends and ensemble forecasts showing limited variability from cloud cover or precipitation. Traders assign 98.5% implied probability to 27°C because deviations would require atypical atmospheric shifts, such as stronger cold advection or unforecasted convective activity, which current guidance does not indicate. Resolution depends on official station readings, with minor model spread introducing limited uncertainty near the close of the trading window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,634Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration supports a minimum temperature of 27°C in Shanghai on August 5, 2026, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure and typical late-summer monsoon conditions that limit nocturnal cooling. Overnight lows near this threshold align with recent observational trends and ensemble forecasts showing limited variability from cloud cover or precipitation. Traders assign 98.5% implied probability to 27°C because deviations would require atypical atmospheric shifts, such as stronger cold advection or unforecasted convective activity, which current guidance does not indicate. Resolution depends on official station readings, with minor model spread introducing limited uncertainty near the close of the trading window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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