Ongoing extreme heat across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and subsidence warming, has pushed recent temperatures well above the early-August climatological average of 29–31 °C at Incheon International Airport. Latest KMA and international model runs project daytime maxima of 35–37 °C on August 7 under mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and elevated humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. The heatwave’s northward expansion from southeastern record readings (42.5 °C) has elevated trader consensus toward the 34–36 °C bin, with 35 °C holding the highest implied probability. Updated short-range forecasts and any afternoon convective development remain the key variables that could shift outcomes before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 7 de agosto?
35°C 31%
37°C 25.0%
34°C 25%
36°C 25%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
25%
35°C
31%
36°C
25%
37°C
16%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
2%
35°C 31%
37°C 25.0%
34°C 25%
36°C 25%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
25%
35°C
31%
36°C
25%
37°C
16%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing extreme heat across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge and subsidence warming, has pushed recent temperatures well above the early-August climatological average of 29–31 °C at Incheon International Airport. Latest KMA and international model runs project daytime maxima of 35–37 °C on August 7 under mostly clear skies, light easterly winds, and elevated humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. The heatwave’s northward expansion from southeastern record readings (42.5 °C) has elevated trader consensus toward the 34–36 °C bin, with 35 °C holding the highest implied probability. Updated short-range forecasts and any afternoon convective development remain the key variables that could shift outcomes before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions