Southwest monsoon activity, including scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover from troughs and localized convection, is the dominant factor moderating daytime highs in Manila ahead of August 9. Official PAGASA outlooks project daily maxima near 30°C with minima around 25°C, consistent with the market's clustering on 28–30°C outcomes, as frequent rain and high humidity reduce solar insolation and cap peak temperatures below seasonal averages. Recent conditions featuring overcast skies and isolated showers align with this pattern, though variability in monsoon intensity or brief clear spells could shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines show typical highs of 30–32°C, but enhanced precipitation this week introduces uncertainty reflected in the broad probability distribution. Updated PAGASA and numerical model guidance over the next 48 hours will be key resolution drivers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila em 9 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Manila em 9 de agosto?
29°C 35%
30°C 22%
28°C 21%
31°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
9 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
21%
29°C
35%
30°C
22%
31°C
12%
32°C
2%
33°C ou mais
2%
29°C 35%
30°C 22%
28°C 21%
31°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
9 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
$281 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$292 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$52 Vol.
2%
27°C
$65 Vol.
4%
28°C
$60 Vol.
21%
29°C
$109 Vol.
35%
30°C
$24 Vol.
22%
31°C
$144 Vol.
12%
32°C
$54 Vol.
2%
33°C ou mais
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southwest monsoon activity, including scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover from troughs and localized convection, is the dominant factor moderating daytime highs in Manila ahead of August 9. Official PAGASA outlooks project daily maxima near 30°C with minima around 25°C, consistent with the market's clustering on 28–30°C outcomes, as frequent rain and high humidity reduce solar insolation and cap peak temperatures below seasonal averages. Recent conditions featuring overcast skies and isolated showers align with this pattern, though variability in monsoon intensity or brief clear spells could shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines show typical highs of 30–32°C, but enhanced precipitation this week introduces uncertainty reflected in the broad probability distribution. Updated PAGASA and numerical model guidance over the next 48 hours will be key resolution drivers.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$1,251Data de Término
9 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southwest monsoon activity, including scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover from troughs and localized convection, is the dominant factor moderating daytime highs in Manila ahead of August 9. Official PAGASA outlooks project daily maxima near 30°C with minima around 25°C, consistent with the market's clustering on 28–30°C outcomes, as frequent rain and high humidity reduce solar insolation and cap peak temperatures below seasonal averages. Recent conditions featuring overcast skies and isolated showers align with this pattern, though variability in monsoon intensity or brief clear spells could shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines show typical highs of 30–32°C, but enhanced precipitation this week introduces uncertainty reflected in the broad probability distribution. Updated PAGASA and numerical model guidance over the next 48 hours will be key resolution drivers.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,251Data de Término
9 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Southwest monsoon activity, including scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover from troughs and localized convection, is the dominant factor moderating daytime highs in Manila ahead of August 9. Official PAGASA outlooks project daily maxima near 30°C with minima around 25°C, consistent with the market's clustering on 28–30°C outcomes, as frequent rain and high humidity reduce solar insolation and cap peak temperatures below seasonal averages. Recent conditions featuring overcast skies and isolated showers align with this pattern, though variability in monsoon intensity or brief clear spells could shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August baselines show typical highs of 30–32°C, but enhanced precipitation this week introduces uncertainty reflected in the broad probability distribution. Updated PAGASA and numerical model guidance over the next 48 hours will be key resolution drivers.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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