Weather forecasts for Hong Kong on August 7 show typical early-August monsoon conditions with highs likely near 32–34°C, driven by high humidity, light winds, and urban heat island effects around official measurement sites. Ensemble models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global systems indicate moderate uncertainty from variable cloud cover, possible afternoon thunderstorms, or slight shifts in steering patterns that could push readings one degree higher or lower. Trader odds remain broadly distributed because resolution depends on the precise daily maximum at the reference station, with historical August baselines around 31–33°C offering limited guidance this close to the date. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong no dia 7 de agosto?
34°C 34%
33°C 31%
35°C 22%
36°C 10%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
10%
33°C
31%
34°C
34%
35°C
22%
36°C
10%
37°C
5%
38°C
5%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 34%
33°C 31%
35°C 22%
36°C 10%
29°C or below
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
10%
33°C
31%
34°C
34%
35°C
22%
36°C
10%
37°C
5%
38°C
5%
39°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Weather forecasts for Hong Kong on August 7 show typical early-August monsoon conditions with highs likely near 32–34°C, driven by high humidity, light winds, and urban heat island effects around official measurement sites. Ensemble models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global systems indicate moderate uncertainty from variable cloud cover, possible afternoon thunderstorms, or slight shifts in steering patterns that could push readings one degree higher or lower. Trader odds remain broadly distributed because resolution depends on the precise daily maximum at the reference station, with historical August baselines around 31–33°C offering limited guidance this close to the date. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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