Forecast models from agencies like Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate typical rainy-season conditions for Mexico City on August 8, with afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers limiting peak heating and keeping highs near the long-term August average of 23–25 °C. High-elevation urban heat-island effects and prevailing easterly moisture flow further constrain extreme warming, positioning 24 °C as the market frontrunner at 38.5 % implied probability while 25 °C and 23 °C capture the next most likely outcomes. Recent model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, reducing odds for outliers above 26 °C or below 22 °C. Updated guidance expected overnight from regional numerical weather prediction runs could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 8 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 8 de agosto?
24°C 39%
25°C 29%
23°C 20%
26°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
8 ago 2026
18°C ou menos
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
20%
24°C
39%
25°C
29%
26°C
13%
27°C
1%
28°C ou mais
1%
24°C 39%
25°C 29%
23°C 20%
26°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
8 ago 2026
18°C ou menos
$501 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,292 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$401 Vol.
1%
21°C
$224 Vol.
1%
22°C
$374 Vol.
5%
23°C
$396 Vol.
20%
24°C
$314 Vol.
39%
25°C
$217 Vol.
29%
26°C
$764 Vol.
13%
27°C
$128 Vol.
1%
28°C ou mais
$118 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate typical rainy-season conditions for Mexico City on August 8, with afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers limiting peak heating and keeping highs near the long-term August average of 23–25 °C. High-elevation urban heat-island effects and prevailing easterly moisture flow further constrain extreme warming, positioning 24 °C as the market frontrunner at 38.5 % implied probability while 25 °C and 23 °C capture the next most likely outcomes. Recent model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, reducing odds for outliers above 26 °C or below 22 °C. Updated guidance expected overnight from regional numerical weather prediction runs could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$4,729Data de Término
8 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate typical rainy-season conditions for Mexico City on August 8, with afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers limiting peak heating and keeping highs near the long-term August average of 23–25 °C. High-elevation urban heat-island effects and prevailing easterly moisture flow further constrain extreme warming, positioning 24 °C as the market frontrunner at 38.5 % implied probability while 25 °C and 23 °C capture the next most likely outcomes. Recent model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, reducing odds for outliers above 26 °C or below 22 °C. Updated guidance expected overnight from regional numerical weather prediction runs could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,729Data de Término
8 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate typical rainy-season conditions for Mexico City on August 8, with afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers limiting peak heating and keeping highs near the long-term August average of 23–25 °C. High-elevation urban heat-island effects and prevailing easterly moisture flow further constrain extreme warming, positioning 24 °C as the market frontrunner at 38.5 % implied probability while 25 °C and 23 °C capture the next most likely outcomes. Recent model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, reducing odds for outliers above 26 °C or below 22 °C. Updated guidance expected overnight from regional numerical weather prediction runs could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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