Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a San Francisco high on August 8 in the low-to-mid 70s, driven by a modest warming trend under mostly sunny skies tempered by the persistent marine layer and onshore flow. This keeps probabilities tightly clustered around 70–73°F, as small differences in afternoon clearing timing, boundary-layer mixing, or wind strength can shift the daily maximum by 2–3°F. Typical August climatology (near 70°F) provides historical context, while interior heat-wave conditions remain isolated from the coast. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine resolution criteria for the official maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 8 de agosto?
72-73°F 32%
70-71°F 30%
74-75°F 20%
76-77°F 10%
67°F ou menos
5%
20-21°C
9%
70-71°F
30%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
2%
86°F ou mais
2%
72-73°F 32%
70-71°F 30%
74-75°F 20%
76-77°F 10%
67°F ou menos
5%
20-21°C
9%
70-71°F
30%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
2%
86°F ou mais
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a San Francisco high on August 8 in the low-to-mid 70s, driven by a modest warming trend under mostly sunny skies tempered by the persistent marine layer and onshore flow. This keeps probabilities tightly clustered around 70–73°F, as small differences in afternoon clearing timing, boundary-layer mixing, or wind strength can shift the daily maximum by 2–3°F. Typical August climatology (near 70°F) provides historical context, while interior heat-wave conditions remain isolated from the coast. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine resolution criteria for the official maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions