Trader sentiment for the August 8 Los Angeles high centers on National Weather Service guidance for Los Angeles International Airport, where a persistent marine layer and onshore flow are expected to limit daytime heating. Recent model consensus and observations show highs near 77–78°F, with morning low clouds clearing slowly under light westerly winds—a typical early-August pattern that caps coastal warming. The 78–79°F bin leads at 40% implied probability because it aligns closely with forecast guidance and climatological norms around 76–78°F, while the 76–77°F outcome at 30.5% reflects uncertainty in exact clearing timing and wind strength. Higher bins (80°F+) remain lower-probability due to the cooling influence of the Pacific and limited inland heat advection, though minor forecast shifts could adjust odds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Los Angeles em 8 de agosto?
78-79°F 40%
76-77°F 34%
80-81°F 15%
74-75°F 12%
71°F ou menos
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
34%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
2%
30-31°C
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F ou mais
1%
78-79°F 40%
76-77°F 34%
80-81°F 15%
74-75°F 12%
71°F ou menos
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
34%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
2%
30-31°C
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F ou mais
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the August 8 Los Angeles high centers on National Weather Service guidance for Los Angeles International Airport, where a persistent marine layer and onshore flow are expected to limit daytime heating. Recent model consensus and observations show highs near 77–78°F, with morning low clouds clearing slowly under light westerly winds—a typical early-August pattern that caps coastal warming. The 78–79°F bin leads at 40% implied probability because it aligns closely with forecast guidance and climatological norms around 76–78°F, while the 76–77°F outcome at 30.5% reflects uncertainty in exact clearing timing and wind strength. Higher bins (80°F+) remain lower-probability due to the cooling influence of the Pacific and limited inland heat advection, though minor forecast shifts could adjust odds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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