Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 10 point to overnight lows of 28–29 °C under typical subtropical summer conditions, with highs near 32–35 °C and elevated humidity limiting nighttime radiative cooling. These projections align with the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal August temperatures and explain why 29 °C holds the strongest market-implied odds at 55.5 %, followed by 28 °C at 29 %. Model consensus shows limited deviation expected in the near term, though incoming showers or increased cloud cover could nudge the minimum slightly lower while steering patterns keep the reading above historical August baselines near 26 °C. Updated guidance ahead of the date remains the key variable for traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 10 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 10 de agosto?
29°C 44%
28°C 29%
30°C 13%
26°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
10 ago 2026
24°C ou menos
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
9%
27°C
8%
28°C
29%
29°C
44%
30°C
13%
31°C
5%
32°C
8%
33°C
1%
34°C ou mais
<1%
29°C 44%
28°C 29%
30°C 13%
26°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
10 ago 2026
24°C ou menos
$32 Vol.
1%
25°C
$27 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
9%
27°C
$0 Vol.
8%
28°C
$0 Vol.
29%
29°C
$63 Vol.
44%
30°C
$0 Vol.
13%
31°C
$36 Vol.
5%
32°C
$32 Vol.
8%
33°C
$22 Vol.
1%
34°C ou mais
$22 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 10 point to overnight lows of 28–29 °C under typical subtropical summer conditions, with highs near 32–35 °C and elevated humidity limiting nighttime radiative cooling. These projections align with the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal August temperatures and explain why 29 °C holds the strongest market-implied odds at 55.5 %, followed by 28 °C at 29 %. Model consensus shows limited deviation expected in the near term, though incoming showers or increased cloud cover could nudge the minimum slightly lower while steering patterns keep the reading above historical August baselines near 26 °C. Updated guidance ahead of the date remains the key variable for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$233Data de Término
10 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 10 point to overnight lows of 28–29 °C under typical subtropical summer conditions, with highs near 32–35 °C and elevated humidity limiting nighttime radiative cooling. These projections align with the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal August temperatures and explain why 29 °C holds the strongest market-implied odds at 55.5 %, followed by 28 °C at 29 %. Model consensus shows limited deviation expected in the near term, though incoming showers or increased cloud cover could nudge the minimum slightly lower while steering patterns keep the reading above historical August baselines near 26 °C. Updated guidance ahead of the date remains the key variable for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$233Data de Término
10 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 10 point to overnight lows of 28–29 °C under typical subtropical summer conditions, with highs near 32–35 °C and elevated humidity limiting nighttime radiative cooling. These projections align with the seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal August temperatures and explain why 29 °C holds the strongest market-implied odds at 55.5 %, followed by 28 °C at 29 %. Model consensus shows limited deviation expected in the near term, though incoming showers or increased cloud cover could nudge the minimum slightly lower while steering patterns keep the reading above historical August baselines near 26 °C. Updated guidance ahead of the date remains the key variable for traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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