Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C implied probabilities for Taipei’s August 9 high because ensemble forecasts from the Central Weather Administration and global models indicate typical early-August subtropical conditions—daily maxima near the long-term 32–34°C climatological average—moderated by increasing moisture and possible afternoon convection or outer-band effects from Typhoon Dolphin. Recent model runs show localized thundershowers or cloud cover that could suppress peak readings by 1–2°C, creating tight differentiation among the top outcomes while keeping extremes below 30°C or above 34°C at low probability. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity amplify daytime warmth, yet resolution hinges on whether steering patterns allow clearer skies or enhanced rainfall on the 9th.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Taipei em 9 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Taipei em 9 de agosto?
32°C 27%
31°C 25%
33°C 20%
34°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
9 ago 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
9%
30°C
14%
31°C
25%
32°C
27%
33°C
20%
34°C
14%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 27%
31°C 25%
33°C 20%
34°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
9 ago 2026
26°C or below
$820 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,153 Vol.
1%
28°C
$188 Vol.
2%
29°C
$41 Vol.
9%
30°C
$275 Vol.
14%
31°C
$8 Vol.
25%
32°C
$64 Vol.
27%
33°C
$21 Vol.
20%
34°C
$850 Vol.
14%
35°C
$268 Vol.
6%
36°C or higher
$13 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C implied probabilities for Taipei’s August 9 high because ensemble forecasts from the Central Weather Administration and global models indicate typical early-August subtropical conditions—daily maxima near the long-term 32–34°C climatological average—moderated by increasing moisture and possible afternoon convection or outer-band effects from Typhoon Dolphin. Recent model runs show localized thundershowers or cloud cover that could suppress peak readings by 1–2°C, creating tight differentiation among the top outcomes while keeping extremes below 30°C or above 34°C at low probability. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity amplify daytime warmth, yet resolution hinges on whether steering patterns allow clearer skies or enhanced rainfall on the 9th.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$3,701Data de Término
9 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C implied probabilities for Taipei’s August 9 high because ensemble forecasts from the Central Weather Administration and global models indicate typical early-August subtropical conditions—daily maxima near the long-term 32–34°C climatological average—moderated by increasing moisture and possible afternoon convection or outer-band effects from Typhoon Dolphin. Recent model runs show localized thundershowers or cloud cover that could suppress peak readings by 1–2°C, creating tight differentiation among the top outcomes while keeping extremes below 30°C or above 34°C at low probability. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity amplify daytime warmth, yet resolution hinges on whether steering patterns allow clearer skies or enhanced rainfall on the 9th.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,701Data de Término
9 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C implied probabilities for Taipei’s August 9 high because ensemble forecasts from the Central Weather Administration and global models indicate typical early-August subtropical conditions—daily maxima near the long-term 32–34°C climatological average—moderated by increasing moisture and possible afternoon convection or outer-band effects from Typhoon Dolphin. Recent model runs show localized thundershowers or cloud cover that could suppress peak readings by 1–2°C, creating tight differentiation among the top outcomes while keeping extremes below 30°C or above 34°C at low probability. Urban heat-island effects and high humidity amplify daytime warmth, yet resolution hinges on whether steering patterns allow clearer skies or enhanced rainfall on the 9th.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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