**Forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather currently converge on a Madrid high of 36–37°C for August 10, 2026, under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation typical of the city's continental summer climate.** This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 37°C (49%) and 36°C (26.5%), reflecting trader consensus on limited cooling from light winds and dry conditions. Spain's record-warm first half of summer 2026, with temperatures frequently 3°C+ above the 1991–2020 baseline and earlier heatwaves, provides supportive context, though August averages near 34°C and model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact peak values. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Madrid a 10 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 10 de agosto?
37°C 48%
36°C 27%
38°C 15%
35°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
10 ago 2026
31°C ou menos
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
11%
36°C
27%
37°C
48%
38°C
15%
39°C
3%
40°C
3%
41°C ou mais
4%
37°C 48%
36°C 27%
38°C 15%
35°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
10 ago 2026
31°C ou menos
$10 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$10 Vol.
1%
33°C
$5 Vol.
2%
34°C
$17 Vol.
2%
35°C
$93 Vol.
11%
36°C
$554 Vol.
27%
37°C
$101 Vol.
48%
38°C
$27 Vol.
15%
39°C
$24 Vol.
3%
40°C
$5 Vol.
3%
41°C ou mais
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather currently converge on a Madrid high of 36–37°C for August 10, 2026, under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation typical of the city's continental summer climate.** This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 37°C (49%) and 36°C (26.5%), reflecting trader consensus on limited cooling from light winds and dry conditions. Spain's record-warm first half of summer 2026, with temperatures frequently 3°C+ above the 1991–2020 baseline and earlier heatwaves, provides supportive context, though August averages near 34°C and model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact peak values. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$852Data de Término
10 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather currently converge on a Madrid high of 36–37°C for August 10, 2026, under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation typical of the city's continental summer climate.** This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 37°C (49%) and 36°C (26.5%), reflecting trader consensus on limited cooling from light winds and dry conditions. Spain's record-warm first half of summer 2026, with temperatures frequently 3°C+ above the 1991–2020 baseline and earlier heatwaves, provides supportive context, though August averages near 34°C and model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact peak values. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$852Data de Término
10 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather currently converge on a Madrid high of 36–37°C for August 10, 2026, under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation typical of the city's continental summer climate.** This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 37°C (49%) and 36°C (26.5%), reflecting trader consensus on limited cooling from light winds and dry conditions. Spain's record-warm first half of summer 2026, with temperatures frequently 3°C+ above the 1991–2020 baseline and earlier heatwaves, provides supportive context, though August averages near 34°C and model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact peak values. Updated runs closer to the date will refine these probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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