Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models project a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for August 8, 2026, under typical summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological baselines for early August, where mean minimums hover near 26°C but recent seasonal guidance indicates normal to above-normal temperatures through the period. Trader consensus favoring 28°C (49%) over 27°C (34%) reflects the latest model runs emphasizing urban heat retention and minimal cooling from weak pressure gradients, with lower-probability outcomes below 26°C requiring an atypical surge of cooler maritime air. Updated daily bulletins expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of the official minimum reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 8 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 8 de agosto?
28°C 49%
27°C 34%
29°C 15%
26°C 5%
NOVO
$27,813 Vol.
NOVO
$27,813 Vol.
8 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
34%
28°C
49%
29°C
15%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
28°C 49%
27°C 34%
29°C 15%
26°C 5%
NOVO
$27,813 Vol.
NOVO
$27,813 Vol.
8 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
$598 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$613 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$683 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,909 Vol.
2%
26°C
$1,344 Vol.
5%
27°C
$4,211 Vol.
34%
28°C
$10,409 Vol.
49%
29°C
$3,449 Vol.
15%
30°C
$3,018 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$938 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou mais
$641 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models project a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for August 8, 2026, under typical summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological baselines for early August, where mean minimums hover near 26°C but recent seasonal guidance indicates normal to above-normal temperatures through the period. Trader consensus favoring 28°C (49%) over 27°C (34%) reflects the latest model runs emphasizing urban heat retention and minimal cooling from weak pressure gradients, with lower-probability outcomes below 26°C requiring an atypical surge of cooler maritime air. Updated daily bulletins expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of the official minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$27,813Data de Término
8 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models project a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for August 8, 2026, under typical summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological baselines for early August, where mean minimums hover near 26°C but recent seasonal guidance indicates normal to above-normal temperatures through the period. Trader consensus favoring 28°C (49%) over 27°C (34%) reflects the latest model runs emphasizing urban heat retention and minimal cooling from weak pressure gradients, with lower-probability outcomes below 26°C requiring an atypical surge of cooler maritime air. Updated daily bulletins expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of the official minimum reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$27,813Data de Término
8 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models project a minimum temperature of 27–28°C for August 8, 2026, under typical summer conditions of high humidity, light winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological baselines for early August, where mean minimums hover near 26°C but recent seasonal guidance indicates normal to above-normal temperatures through the period. Trader consensus favoring 28°C (49%) over 27°C (34%) reflects the latest model runs emphasizing urban heat retention and minimal cooling from weak pressure gradients, with lower-probability outcomes below 26°C requiring an atypical surge of cooler maritime air. Updated daily bulletins expected overnight will refine these probabilities ahead of the official minimum reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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