The market-implied odds center on a 31°C high for Tokyo on August 10, reflecting the latest ensemble guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicating typical mid-August conditions under a moderately strong North Pacific subtropical high. Primary variables include the high's position and strength, which modulates daytime insolation and subsidence; moisture advection and sea-breeze development that can limit afternoon peaks; and the potential for localized convective activity or urban heat-island amplification within the Tokyo basin. The broad distribution across 29–33°C captures model spread in short-range forecasts, particularly regarding boundary-layer mixing and any weak frontal passages. Updated JMA model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 10 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 10 de agosto?
31°C 35%
32°C 24%
30°C 23%
33°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
10 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
23%
31°C
35%
32°C
24%
33°C
11%
34°C or higher
3%
31°C 35%
32°C 24%
30°C 23%
33°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
10 ago 2026
24°C or below
$472 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$474 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$154 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$299 Vol.
2%
29°C
$207 Vol.
7%
30°C
$93 Vol.
23%
31°C
$364 Vol.
35%
32°C
$427 Vol.
24%
33°C
$352 Vol.
11%
34°C or higher
$99 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds center on a 31°C high for Tokyo on August 10, reflecting the latest ensemble guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicating typical mid-August conditions under a moderately strong North Pacific subtropical high. Primary variables include the high's position and strength, which modulates daytime insolation and subsidence; moisture advection and sea-breeze development that can limit afternoon peaks; and the potential for localized convective activity or urban heat-island amplification within the Tokyo basin. The broad distribution across 29–33°C captures model spread in short-range forecasts, particularly regarding boundary-layer mixing and any weak frontal passages. Updated JMA model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$3,040Data de Término
10 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market-implied odds center on a 31°C high for Tokyo on August 10, reflecting the latest ensemble guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicating typical mid-August conditions under a moderately strong North Pacific subtropical high. Primary variables include the high's position and strength, which modulates daytime insolation and subsidence; moisture advection and sea-breeze development that can limit afternoon peaks; and the potential for localized convective activity or urban heat-island amplification within the Tokyo basin. The broad distribution across 29–33°C captures model spread in short-range forecasts, particularly regarding boundary-layer mixing and any weak frontal passages. Updated JMA model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,040Data de Término
10 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market-implied odds center on a 31°C high for Tokyo on August 10, reflecting the latest ensemble guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicating typical mid-August conditions under a moderately strong North Pacific subtropical high. Primary variables include the high's position and strength, which modulates daytime insolation and subsidence; moisture advection and sea-breeze development that can limit afternoon peaks; and the potential for localized convective activity or urban heat-island amplification within the Tokyo basin. The broad distribution across 29–33°C captures model spread in short-range forecasts, particularly regarding boundary-layer mixing and any weak frontal passages. Updated JMA model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions