Current ensemble forecasts place Qingdao’s August 12 maximum near 30–31°C under late-summer maritime conditions moderated by the Yellow Sea. Sea-breeze circulation, onshore flow, and possible light rain episodes introduce small but decisive cooling that separates a 30°C outcome from 31°C. Historical August averages hover around 29°C, with coastal effects rarely allowing sustained spikes above 32°C without clear-sky subsidence. Traders weigh the latest model consensus against uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any showers, producing tightly matched probabilities that reflect genuine forecast spread two days before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Qingdao em 12 de agosto?
30°C 35%
31°C 33%
32°C 15%
29°C 13%
25°C ou menos
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
13%
30°C
35%
31°C
33%
32°C
15%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C ou mais
<1%
30°C 35%
31°C 33%
32°C 15%
29°C 13%
25°C ou menos
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
13%
30°C
35%
31°C
33%
32°C
15%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C ou mais
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts place Qingdao’s August 12 maximum near 30–31°C under late-summer maritime conditions moderated by the Yellow Sea. Sea-breeze circulation, onshore flow, and possible light rain episodes introduce small but decisive cooling that separates a 30°C outcome from 31°C. Historical August averages hover around 29°C, with coastal effects rarely allowing sustained spikes above 32°C without clear-sky subsidence. Traders weigh the latest model consensus against uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any showers, producing tightly matched probabilities that reflect genuine forecast spread two days before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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