Current forecasts from models and monitoring sources indicate Shanghai overnight lows near 26–27°C for August 12, consistent with mid-August climatology where average minima hover around 25–26°C amid high humidity and frequent cloud cover. Recent days have shown stable overnight readings of 25–28°C under overcast, rainy conditions that limit radiative cooling, supporting trader emphasis on the 27°C and 26°C outcomes. No significant cold fronts or atypical steering patterns appear in short-range guidance, keeping probabilities for sub-25°C levels low while allowing modest upside for 28°C if daytime heating lingers. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 12 de agosto?
27°C 52%
26°C 40%
25°C 21%
28°C 11%
21°C ou menos
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
5%
24°C
10%
25°C
21%
26°C
40%
27°C
52%
28°C
11%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C ou mais
<1%
27°C 52%
26°C 40%
25°C 21%
28°C 11%
21°C ou menos
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
5%
24°C
10%
25°C
21%
26°C
40%
27°C
52%
28°C
11%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C ou mais
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models and monitoring sources indicate Shanghai overnight lows near 26–27°C for August 12, consistent with mid-August climatology where average minima hover around 25–26°C amid high humidity and frequent cloud cover. Recent days have shown stable overnight readings of 25–28°C under overcast, rainy conditions that limit radiative cooling, supporting trader emphasis on the 27°C and 26°C outcomes. No significant cold fronts or atypical steering patterns appear in short-range guidance, keeping probabilities for sub-25°C levels low while allowing modest upside for 28°C if daytime heating lingers. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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