Forecast models for Hong Kong on August 9 point to a daily maximum in the mid-30s Celsius, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 35–37°C reflecting uncertainty over peak intensity. Seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory indicates normal to above-normal temperatures through August amid long-term warming trends, while short-range outlooks show partly cloudy conditions that could allow strong solar heating or scattered showers and thunderstorms that cap the high. Key variables include boundary-layer moisture, daytime cloud cover, and any steering influences on local convection, all of which can shift the realized maximum by 1–2°C. Updated numerical guidance and official Hong Kong Observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution as the event nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 9 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 9 de agosto?
35°C 33%
36°C 32%
37°C 21%
38°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
9 ago 2026
31°C or below
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
7%
35°C
33%
36°C
32%
37°C
21%
38°C
11%
39°C
2%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 33%
36°C 32%
37°C 21%
38°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
9 ago 2026
31°C or below
$419 Vol.
1%
32°C
$419 Vol.
1%
33°C
$603 Vol.
3%
34°C
$598 Vol.
7%
35°C
$782 Vol.
33%
36°C
$810 Vol.
32%
37°C
$628 Vol.
21%
38°C
$1,018 Vol.
11%
39°C
$12 Vol.
2%
40°C
$221 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$225 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models for Hong Kong on August 9 point to a daily maximum in the mid-30s Celsius, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 35–37°C reflecting uncertainty over peak intensity. Seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory indicates normal to above-normal temperatures through August amid long-term warming trends, while short-range outlooks show partly cloudy conditions that could allow strong solar heating or scattered showers and thunderstorms that cap the high. Key variables include boundary-layer moisture, daytime cloud cover, and any steering influences on local convection, all of which can shift the realized maximum by 1–2°C. Updated numerical guidance and official Hong Kong Observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$5,735Data de Término
9 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast models for Hong Kong on August 9 point to a daily maximum in the mid-30s Celsius, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 35–37°C reflecting uncertainty over peak intensity. Seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory indicates normal to above-normal temperatures through August amid long-term warming trends, while short-range outlooks show partly cloudy conditions that could allow strong solar heating or scattered showers and thunderstorms that cap the high. Key variables include boundary-layer moisture, daytime cloud cover, and any steering influences on local convection, all of which can shift the realized maximum by 1–2°C. Updated numerical guidance and official Hong Kong Observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,735Data de Término
9 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Hong Kong on August 9 point to a daily maximum in the mid-30s Celsius, with trader-implied odds clustered tightly around 35–37°C reflecting uncertainty over peak intensity. Seasonal guidance from the Hong Kong Observatory indicates normal to above-normal temperatures through August amid long-term warming trends, while short-range outlooks show partly cloudy conditions that could allow strong solar heating or scattered showers and thunderstorms that cap the high. Key variables include boundary-layer moisture, daytime cloud cover, and any steering influences on local convection, all of which can shift the realized maximum by 1–2°C. Updated numerical guidance and official Hong Kong Observatory briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution as the event nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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