Latest official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting European model guidance indicate a peak of 35–36 °C in Paris on August 12 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and modest southerly flow. These conditions favor strong daytime heating ahead of a slightly warmer Thursday. Traders have priced the 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes at 49.5 % and 35 % respectively, consistent with ensemble consensus around that narrow range while acknowledging typical model spread and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2 °C to official readings. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the market-implied distribution tightly centered on these two values.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 12 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 12 de agosto?
35°C 51%
36°C 34%
34°C 9%
37°C 6%
NOVO
$12,354 Vol.
NOVO
$12,354 Vol.
12 ago 2026
29°C ou menos
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
9%
35°C
51%
36°C
34%
37°C
6%
38°C
2%
39°C ou mais
<1%
35°C 51%
36°C 34%
34°C 9%
37°C 6%
NOVO
$12,354 Vol.
NOVO
$12,354 Vol.
12 ago 2026
29°C ou menos
$1,994 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$320 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$861 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$444 Vol.
1%
33°C
$850 Vol.
3%
34°C
$1,364 Vol.
9%
35°C
$2,978 Vol.
51%
36°C
$1,664 Vol.
34%
37°C
$1,018 Vol.
6%
38°C
$481 Vol.
2%
39°C ou mais
$380 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting European model guidance indicate a peak of 35–36 °C in Paris on August 12 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and modest southerly flow. These conditions favor strong daytime heating ahead of a slightly warmer Thursday. Traders have priced the 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes at 49.5 % and 35 % respectively, consistent with ensemble consensus around that narrow range while acknowledging typical model spread and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2 °C to official readings. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the market-implied distribution tightly centered on these two values.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$12,354Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting European model guidance indicate a peak of 35–36 °C in Paris on August 12 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and modest southerly flow. These conditions favor strong daytime heating ahead of a slightly warmer Thursday. Traders have priced the 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes at 49.5 % and 35 % respectively, consistent with ensemble consensus around that narrow range while acknowledging typical model spread and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2 °C to official readings. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the market-implied distribution tightly centered on these two values.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,354Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting European model guidance indicate a peak of 35–36 °C in Paris on August 12 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and modest southerly flow. These conditions favor strong daytime heating ahead of a slightly warmer Thursday. Traders have priced the 35 °C and 36 °C outcomes at 49.5 % and 35 % respectively, consistent with ensemble consensus around that narrow range while acknowledging typical model spread and urban heat-island effects that can add 1–2 °C to official readings. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the market-implied distribution tightly centered on these two values.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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