National Weather Service forecasts for Austin indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions on August 12, 2026, supporting a daily high near 100–101°F amid typical late-summer high pressure and southerly flow. This aligns with the market's leading 59.5% implied probability for that bin, as model consensus shows limited cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures below the seasonal average of 96–99°F. Recent observations confirm persistent heat across central Texas with heat indices exceeding 105°F, while historical August records (extremes above 110°F) remain unlikely without anomalous warming. Updated NWS guidance and any overnight model runs will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 12 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 12 de agosto?
100-101°F 56%
98-99°F 20%
102-103°F 15%
96-97°F 5%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
91°F ou menos
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
20%
100-101°F
56%
102-103°F
15%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F ou mais
<1%
100-101°F 56%
98-99°F 20%
102-103°F 15%
96-97°F 5%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
91°F ou menos
$120 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$140 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$28 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$1 Vol.
5%
98-99°F
$130 Vol.
20%
100-101°F
$117 Vol.
56%
102-103°F
$77 Vol.
15%
104-105°F
$217 Vol.
3%
106-107°F
$55 Vol.
2%
108-109°F
$127 Vol.
<1%
110°F ou mais
$22 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions on August 12, 2026, supporting a daily high near 100–101°F amid typical late-summer high pressure and southerly flow. This aligns with the market's leading 59.5% implied probability for that bin, as model consensus shows limited cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures below the seasonal average of 96–99°F. Recent observations confirm persistent heat across central Texas with heat indices exceeding 105°F, while historical August records (extremes above 110°F) remain unlikely without anomalous warming. Updated NWS guidance and any overnight model runs will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$1,033Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions on August 12, 2026, supporting a daily high near 100–101°F amid typical late-summer high pressure and southerly flow. This aligns with the market's leading 59.5% implied probability for that bin, as model consensus shows limited cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures below the seasonal average of 96–99°F. Recent observations confirm persistent heat across central Texas with heat indices exceeding 105°F, while historical August records (extremes above 110°F) remain unlikely without anomalous warming. Updated NWS guidance and any overnight model runs will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,033Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Austin indicate mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions on August 12, 2026, supporting a daily high near 100–101°F amid typical late-summer high pressure and southerly flow. This aligns with the market's leading 59.5% implied probability for that bin, as model consensus shows limited cloud cover or precipitation to suppress temperatures below the seasonal average of 96–99°F. Recent observations confirm persistent heat across central Texas with heat indices exceeding 105°F, while historical August records (extremes above 110°F) remain unlikely without anomalous warming. Updated NWS guidance and any overnight model runs will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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